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Tsuburaya Fields Holdings (FIELF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $557M

TF Tsuburaya Fields Holdings logo Tsuburaya Fields Holdings FIELF · US
Price$11.17
Fair Value$29.05
Upside+160.1%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range $15.56 – $37.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $26.02 to $29.05 (+11.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +33.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($15.56 to $37.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$18.69 $7.30 Fair Value $29.05 Mar 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range $7.30 – $18.69 · fair‑value band $15.56 – $37.24 · the $11.17 price screens below the $29.05 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tsuburaya Fields Holdings (FIELF) currently trades at $11.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.05, implying the stock looks roughly 160.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tsuburaya Fields Holdings generated revenue of $174B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue declined 54.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.56 (bear case) to $37.24 (bull case); at $11.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at 160%, FIELF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.50 $15.50 $24.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF $17.23 $34.17 $61.26 74
ROIC Compounder $19.43 $24.71 $31.19 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.01 $14.74 $25.85 38
Owner Earnings $21.41 $41.25 $78.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $17.23 $30.28 $57.08 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.69 $33.30 $61.31 41
5Y P/E Exit $21.62 $46.65 $80.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.44 $31.24 $46.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.00 $33.98 $68.38 37
10Y P/E Exit $17.93 $39.48 $78.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.87 $68.82 $96.57 54
Lynch FV $23.65 $33.78 $43.92 50
PEG = 1.0 $23.65 $33.78 $43.92 46
EPV $16.89 $18.80 $20.39 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.94 $31.93 $39.91 63
P/S Multiple $17.43 $23.24 $29.05 58
P/B Multiple $18.50 $24.67 $30.84 55
EV/EBIT $29.12 $37.85 $46.58 53
EV/EBITDA $22.52 $29.05 $35.58 54
EV/Revenue $19.19 $26.16 $33.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.40 $4.56 $6.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.50 $15.50 $24.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF $17.23 $34.17 $61.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.24 $10.99 $39.01 61
ROIC Compounder $19.43 $24.71 $31.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.55 $45.07 $58.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($45.07) versus Asset-Based ($4.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $174B
Revenue growth (YoY) -54.4%
Net margin 7.5%
Return on equity 21.5%
Free cash flow $5.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin -6.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.31
Dividend yield 5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +146%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. engages in the content-related businesses in Japan. The company plans, develops, manufactures, sells, and maintains pachinko/pachislot (PS) machines.

Full company description

Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. engages in the content-related businesses in Japan. The company plans, develops, manufactures, sells, and maintains pachinko/pachislot (PS) machines. It is also involved in the planning and development of software for PS machines; management and operation of a fitness gyms; provision of information services through the Internet; and planning and production of computer graphics, etc. In addition, the company engages in the planning and production of movie/TV; and planning, production, and sale of character goods. Further, it manages, leases, and trades in real estate assets. Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. was formerly known as Fields Corporation and changed its name to Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. in October 2022. Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tsuburaya Fields Holdings reported revenue of ¥174B in FY2026 versus ¥94.9B in FY2022, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.1B in FY2026, compounding +51.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$174B
Latest YoY
+23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Revenue +16.4%/yr
FY22 ¥94.9B
FY23 ¥117B
FY24 ¥142B
FY25 ¥141B
FY26 ¥174B
Net income +51.6%/yr
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥8.2B
FY24 ¥11.7B
FY25 ¥11.2B
FY26 ¥13.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FIELF

Peer Group

Gambling · 57 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +160% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Above median
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -54% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 5
PAST 86 · sector 24
HEALTH 96 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 70

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tsuburaya Fields Holdings (FIELF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.05 versus a price of $11.17, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FIELF?
Our model-based fair value for Tsuburaya Fields Holdings is $29.05 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.17.
What is the quality score of FIELF?
Tsuburaya Fields Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tsuburaya Fields Holdings (FIELF)?
Tsuburaya Fields Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $174B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FIELF?
The net profit margin of Tsuburaya Fields Holdings is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tsuburaya Fields Holdings pay a dividend?
Tsuburaya Fields Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.98% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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