flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of flyExclusive, Inc. $0.22, price $1.25, upside -82.3%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.10 – $19.65 · fair‑value band $0.1275 – $0.2975 · the $1.25 price screens above the $0.2210 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
Follow flyExclusive in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether flyExclusive is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
flyExclusive, Inc. owns and operates jet aircraft in North America.
Show more
flyExclusive, Inc. owns and operates jet aircraft in North America. The company also offers jet charter services; aircraft maintenance, modification, repair, inspection, overhaul operation services; interior and exterior refurbishment services; and aircraft management services, as well as wholesale and retail ad hoc flights, a jet club program, partnership program, fractional program, and other services. flyExclusive, Inc. is headquartered in Kinston, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) currently trades at $1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2210, 82.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1275 (bear) to $0.2975 (bull), the price of $1.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
flyExclusive, Inc. reported revenue of $376M in FY2026 versus $208M in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.6M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $128M · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7900 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −4.7% · Return on equity −858% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.5% · Operating margin −4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −82%, FLYX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1275Fair Value $0.2210Bull $0.2975
Price $1.25 · Upside -82.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.6% (2021) → −13.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airlines · 57 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.32× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 80
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "flyExclusive, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLYX
Frequently asked questions
Is flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2210 versus a price of $1.25, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLYX?
Our model-based fair value for flyExclusive, Inc. is $0.2210 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.25.
What is the quality score of FLYX?
flyExclusive, Inc. has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2210 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1275, optimistic scenario $0.2975. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the flyExclusive, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2210, about −82% upside versus a price of $1.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1275, optimistic scenario $0.2975. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
flyExclusive, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $404M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does flyExclusive, Inc. pay a dividend?
flyExclusive, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For flyExclusive, Inc. it is $0.2210 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $1.25. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is flyExclusive, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, FLYX trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.25, fair value $0.2210, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FLYX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2210). For flyExclusive, Inc. the two are $1.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is flyExclusive, Inc. worth?
The market values flyExclusive, Inc. at about $128M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $1.25; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2210 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FLYX?
Our models span a range for flyExclusive, Inc.: cautious scenario $0.1275, base $0.2210, optimistic $0.2975 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $1.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
Balance-sheet figures for flyExclusive, Inc. (as of Oct 4, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FLYX from its 52-week high?
flyExclusive, Inc. trades at $1.25, about 83% below its 52-week high of $7.23 and 14% above the low of $1.10 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2210 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to flyExclusive, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Delta Air Lines, Inc, United Airlines Holdings, Ryanair Holdings, Southwest Airlines Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is flyExclusive, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $1.25, calculated fair value $0.2210 (−82%), Quality Score 25/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FLYX calculated?
We run flyExclusive, Inc. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2210, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. flyExclusive, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.25. Our model-based fair value is $0.2210, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with flyExclusive, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2975). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1275 to $0.2975) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of flyExclusive, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The market capitalisation of flyExclusive, Inc. is $128M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of flyExclusive, Inc. is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
Earnings per share at flyExclusive, Inc. are $−0.7900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The dividend yield of flyExclusive, Inc. is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The net margin of flyExclusive, Inc. is −4.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of flyExclusive, Inc. is −858% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of flyExclusive, Inc. is −7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
The operating margin of flyExclusive, Inc. is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX)?
Revenue at flyExclusive, Inc. is growing +21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) generate?
The free cash flow of flyExclusive, Inc. is −$24.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does flyExclusive, Inc. (FLYX) carry?
The net debt of flyExclusive, Inc. is $214M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch flyExclusive, Inc. in the live analysis
One click puts flyExclusive, Inc. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Oct 4, 2026