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Fine Metal Technologies Public Company (FMT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 946M THB

FM Fine Metal Technologies Public Company FMT · BK
Price20.20 THB
Fair Value8.26 THB
Upside-59.1%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range 8.26 THB – 21.46 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 10.61 THB to 8.26 THB (−22.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (8.26 THB to 21.46 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

35.51 THB 14.14 THB Fair Value 8.26 THB Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.14 THB – 35.51 THB · fair‑value band 8.26 THB – 21.46 THB · the 20.20 THB price screens above the 8.26 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Fine Metal Technologies Public Company (FMT) currently trades at 20.20 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.26 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 6.8B THB. Revenue declined 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.5%. Net debt stands at 1.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8.26 THB (bear case) to 21.46 THB (bull case); at 20.20 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -59%, FMT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 THB 1.00 THB 72
Gordon GGM 7.52 THB 9.24 THB 10.87 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.52 THB 9.66 THB 11.95 THB 61
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit 0.9900 THB 5.02 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 4.03 THB 10.98 THB 19.99 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1.20 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0800 THB 4.75 THB 10.27 THB 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.3300 THB 1.00 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.52 THB 9.24 THB 10.87 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.52 THB 9.66 THB 11.95 THB 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 4.06 THB 7.53 THB 11.00 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 13.46 THB 20.07 THB 26.67 THB 54
EV/Revenue 1.08 THB 4.26 THB 7.45 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.14 THB 18.95 THB 28.28 THB 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.3300 THB 1.00 THB 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (18.95 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.3300 THB). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.7B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin -0.8%
Return on equity -3.8%
Free cash flow 7.8M THB FY2025
Operating margin 0.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.15 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net debt 1.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fine Metal Technologies Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes seamless copper tubes for air-conditioners and refrigerators in Thailand, Japan, Malaysia, and internationally. It offers smooth tubes for heat exchanger and piping; fine multi-grooved tubes; accumulator tubes; and capillary tubes.

Full company description

Fine Metal Technologies Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes seamless copper tubes for air-conditioners and refrigerators in Thailand, Japan, Malaysia, and internationally. It offers smooth tubes for heat exchanger and piping; fine multi-grooved tubes; accumulator tubes; and capillary tubes. The company was formerly known as Furukawa Metal (Thailand) Public Company Limited and changed its name to Fine Metal Technologies Public Company Limited in November 2020. Fine Metal Technologies Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fine Metal Technologies Public Company reported revenue of 6.8B THB in FY2025 versus 7.2B THB in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was −77.7M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.8B THB
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+5.2%
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY21 7.2B THB
FY22 8.0B THB
FY23 6.7B THB
FY24 7.7B THB
FY25 6.8B THB
Net income
FY21 220M THB
FY22 99.0M THB
FY23 96.5M THB
FY24 −36.4M THB
FY25 −77.7M THB

FMT screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fine Metal Technologies Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMT

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 3.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 35
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fine Metal Technologies Public Company (FMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.26 THB versus a price of 20.20 THB, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FMT?
Our model-based fair value for Fine Metal Technologies Public Company is 8.26 THB (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.20 THB.
What is the quality score of FMT?
Fine Metal Technologies Public Company has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fine Metal Technologies Public Company (FMT)?
Fine Metal Technologies Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMT?
The net profit margin of Fine Metal Technologies Public Company is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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