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Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹41.1B (≈ $436M) · ISIN INE519A01011

What is Foseco India Limited really worth?

FI Foseco India Limited FOSECOIND · BSE
Price₹6,257
Fair Value₹1,630
Upside−73.9%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 284% above our fair value of ₹1,630.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Foseco India Limited is ₹1,630 per share against a price of ₹6,257, so the fair value sits 74% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +20.7 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1,223 – ₹2,038

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +16.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,038). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹6,468 ₹1,174 Fair Value ₹1,630 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,174 – ₹6,468 · fair‑value band ₹1,223 – ₹2,038 · the ₹6,257 price screens above the ₹1,630 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) currently trades at ₹6,257, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,630, implying the stock looks roughly 283.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹2,564 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹6,257 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹921.14, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Foseco India Limited generated revenue of ₹5.9B at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 50.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1,223 (bear case) to ₹2,038 (bull case); at ₹6,257, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −74%, FOSECOIND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹84.60 per share, which is 5.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹1,114 ₹1,171 ₹1,253 76
FCF DCF ₹1,795 ₹3,244 ₹6,741 75
Growth DCF ₹1,752 ₹3,401 ₹5,992 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,795 ₹3,244 ₹6,741 75
Owner Earnings ₹1,569 ₹3,039 ₹5,844 72
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,266 ₹2,153 ₹3,389 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,452 ₹2,564 ₹4,014 73
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,441 ₹2,539 ₹3,856 69
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,390 ₹2,327 ₹3,851 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,551 ₹2,640 ₹4,411 66
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,543 ₹2,622 ₹4,270 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹652.17 ₹3,755 ₹5,222 63
Lynch FV ₹1,059 ₹1,512 ₹1,966 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,059 ₹1,512 ₹1,966 57
EPV ₹1,340 ₹1,542 ₹1,719 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,223 ₹1,630 ₹2,038 63
P/S Multiple ₹958.58 ₹1,278 ₹1,598 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,223 ₹1,630 ₹2,038 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,678 ₹2,195 ₹2,711 66
EV/EBITDA ₹1,368 ₹1,781 ₹2,194 67
EV/Revenue ₹1,023 ₹1,407 ₹1,790 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹687.42 ₹921.14 ₹1,375 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,752 ₹3,401 ₹5,992 75
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,266 ₹2,127 ₹3,322 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1,114 ₹1,171 ₹1,253 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,340 ₹1,788 ₹2,269 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,426 ₹2,038 ₹2,649 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,564) versus Asset-Based (₹921.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 50.5
P/S ratio 5.68 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹124.01 price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.5
Dividend yield 0.4% payout 19.7%
Net margin 11.3% FY2025
Return on equity 24.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 16.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹5.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1% 3y avg +16.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −13.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹887M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Foseco India Limited manufactures and sells additives and consumables used in the metallurgical industry in India. It also provides pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical, and botanical products.

Full company description

Foseco India Limited manufactures and sells additives and consumables used in the metallurgical industry in India. It also provides pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical, and botanical products. The company primarily serves the requirements of ferrous and non-ferrous foundries, which in turn supply castings to various segments, such as automotive, tractors, general engineering, valves, power, railways, etc. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Pune, India. Foseco India Limited is a subsidiary of Foseco Overseas Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Foseco India Limited reported revenue of ₹6.4B in FY2025 versus ₹3.4B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹723M in FY2025, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹6.4B
Latest YoY
+22.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.8% · in INR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+13.4%
Dividend yield0.4%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.7% (2020) → 17.3% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop55% (2020) · in INR
Revenue +17.5%/yr
FY21 ₹3.4B
FY22 ₹4.1B
FY23 ₹4.8B
FY24 ₹5.2B
FY25 ₹6.4B
Net income +22.0%/yr
FY21 ₹327M
FY22 ₹460M
FY23 ₹730M
FY24 ₹730M
FY25 ₹723M

FOSECOIND screens 284% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Foseco India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOSECOIND.BSE

Peer Group

Chemicals · 340 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 37.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.47× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

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A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $849.00 $203.64 −76%
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Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR −15%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,630 versus a price of ₹6,257, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FOSECOIND?
Our model-based fair value for Foseco India Limited is ₹1,630 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹6,257.
What is the quality score of FOSECOIND?
Foseco India Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,630 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,223, optimistic scenario ₹2,038. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Foseco India Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,630, about −74% upside versus a price of ₹6,257 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,223, optimistic scenario ₹2,038. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND)?
Foseco India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FOSECOIND?
The net profit margin of Foseco India Limited is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Foseco India Limited pay a dividend?
Foseco India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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