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Forvia SE (FRVIA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €1.7B

FS Forvia SE FRVIA · PA
Price€9.12
Fair Value€14.59
Upside+60.0%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -9.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range €9.32 – €19.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from €9.66 to €14.59 (+51.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (€9.32 to €19.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€42.55 €5.27 Fair Value €14.59 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.27 – €42.55 · fair‑value band €9.32 – €19.84 · the €9.12 price screens below the €14.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Forvia SE (FRVIA) currently trades at €9.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.59, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Forvia SE generated revenue of €21.3B at a net margin of -9.8%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.9%. Net debt stands at €6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €9.32 (bear case) to €19.84 (bull case); at €9.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 60%, FRVIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €70.80 €97.42 €129.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF €44.47 €70.63 €99.32 74
ROIC Compounder €7.17 €11.63 €16.44 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €68.81 €97.43 €134.02 38
5Y Revenue Exit €44.47 €68.78 €98.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €70.50 €114.05 €163.04 41
10Y Revenue Exit €52.92 €74.88 €99.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €68.94 €102.50 €141.55 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €7.17 €11.39 €14.91 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT €56.73 €83.56 €110.39 53
EV/EBITDA €86.29 €122.97 €159.66 54
EV/Revenue €30.50 €53.75 €77.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.11 €6.85 €10.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €70.80 €97.42 €129.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF €44.47 €70.63 €99.32 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €7.17 €11.63 €16.44 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€97.43) versus Asset-Based (€6.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €21.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin -9.8%
Return on equity -28.9%
Free cash flow €2.0B FY2025
Operating margin 5.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-7.40
EPS growth (YoY) -86.0%
Net debt €6.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments.

Full company description

Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments. The Seating segment designs and manufactures vehicle seats, seating frames, and adjustment mechanisms. The Interiors segment designs, manufactures, and assembles instrument panels, door panels, and modules. The Clean Mobility segment designs and manufactures exhaust systems, solutions for fuel cell electric vehicles, and aftertreatment solutions for commercial vehicles. The Electronics segment designs and manufactures display technologies, driver assistance systems, and cockpit electronics, including HELLA electronics and Clarion electronics. The Lighting segment designs and manufactures lighting technologies. The Lifecycle Solutions segment provides solutions extending the vehicle lifecycle, as well as workshop equipment and special original equipment. The company was formerly known as Faurecia S.E. and changed its name to Forvia SE in June 2023. Forvia SE was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Forvia SE reported revenue of €21.3B in FY2025 versus €15.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€21.3B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+4.7%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 €15.6B
FY22 €25.5B
FY23 €27.2B
FY24 €27.0B
FY25 €21.3B
Net income
FY21 −€78.8M
FY22 −€382M
FY23 €222M
FY24 −€185M
FY25 −€2.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forvia SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRVIA

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Debt / equity 4.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Forvia SE (FRVIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.59 versus a price of €9.12, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRVIA?
Our model-based fair value for Forvia SE is €14.59 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €9.12.
What is the quality score of FRVIA?
Forvia SE has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Forvia SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €21.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRVIA?
The net profit margin of Forvia SE is about -9.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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