Forvia SE (FRVIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Forvia SE €14.85, price €9.06, upside +63.8%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.27 – €42.55 · fair‑value band €9.49 – €20.21 · the €9.06 price screens below the €14.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments.
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Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments. The Seating segment designs and manufactures vehicle seats, seating frames, and adjustment mechanisms. The Interiors segment designs, manufactures, and assembles instrument panels, door panels, and modules. The Clean Mobility segment designs and manufactures exhaust systems, solutions for fuel cell electric vehicles, and aftertreatment solutions for commercial vehicles. The Electronics segment designs and manufactures display technologies, driver assistance systems, and cockpit electronics, including HELLA electronics and Clarion electronics. The Lighting segment designs and manufactures lighting technologies. The Lifecycle Solutions segment provides solutions extending the vehicle lifecycle, as well as workshop equipment and special original equipment. The company was formerly known as Faurecia S.E. and changed its name to Forvia SE in June 2023. Forvia SE was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.
Stock analysis
Forvia SE (FRVIA) currently trades at €9.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.85, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €114.32 per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the €9.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €6.85, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €9.49 (bear) to €20.21 (bull), the price of €9.06 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Forvia SE reported revenue of €21.3B in FY2025 versus €15.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.1B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €1.8B · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) €−7.40 · Net margin −9.8% · Return on equity −28.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 5.1% · Revenue (TTM) €21.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 64%, FRVIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €9.49Fair Value €14.85Bull €20.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2020) → 5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.40× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.11× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forvia SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRVIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Forvia SE (FRVIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.85 versus a price of €9.06, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRVIA?
Our model-based fair value for Forvia SE is €14.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.06.
What is the quality score of FRVIA?
Forvia SE has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €14.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.49, optimistic scenario €20.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Forvia SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €14.85, about +64% upside versus a price of €9.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €9.49, optimistic scenario €20.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Forvia SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €21.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forvia SE it is €14.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €9.06. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Forvia SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FRVIA trades below its calculated fair value: price €9.06, fair value €14.85, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRVIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€14.85). For Forvia SE the two are €5.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forvia SE worth?
The market values Forvia SE at about €1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €9.06; our models calculate a fair value of €14.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRVIA?
Our models span a range for Forvia SE: cautious scenario €9.49, base €14.85, optimistic €20.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €9.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FRVIA?
The PEG ratio of Forvia SE is 0.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Forvia SE (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −28.9%, debt of 4.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRVIA from its 52-week high?
Forvia SE trades at €9.06, about 39% below its 52-week high of €14.84 and 7% above the low of €8.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €14.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Forvia SE?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forvia SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €9.06, calculated fair value €14.85 (+64%), Quality Score 42/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRVIA calculated?
We run Forvia SE through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €14.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Forvia SE currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €9.06. Our model-based fair value is €14.85, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forvia SE right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€9.49 to €20.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Forvia SE
How large is the market capitalisation of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The market capitalisation of Forvia SE is €1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forvia SE is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Earnings per share at Forvia SE are €−7.40. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The net margin of Forvia SE is −9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forvia SE is −28.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forvia SE is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
The operating margin of Forvia SE is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Revenue at Forvia SE is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Forvia SE (FRVIA)?
Earnings per share at Forvia SE are growing −86.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Forvia SE (FRVIA) generate?
The free cash flow of Forvia SE is €2.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Forvia SE (FRVIA) carry?
The net debt of Forvia SE is €6.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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