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Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock $9.66, price $29.65, upside -67.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US31188V1008

FI Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock

FSLY · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $9.66 · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -15.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$61.08 $5.00 Fair Value $9.66 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.00 – $61.08 · fair‑value band $4.77 – $16.15 · the $29.65 price screens above the $9.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Fastly, Inc. operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer's applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally. The edge cloud is a category of Infrastructure as a Service that enables developers to build, secure, and deliver digital experiences at the edge of the internet.

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Fastly, Inc. operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer's applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally. The edge cloud is a category of Infrastructure as a Service that enables developers to build, secure, and deliver digital experiences at the edge of the internet. The company offers network services to speed up and optimize the delivery of web and application traffic; content delivery network, such as dynamic site acceleration, origin shield, instant purge, surrogate keys, programmatic control, content compression, reliability features, fanout, domainr, modern protocols and performance services; staging environment; and video/ streaming solutions and services, including live streaming, live event monitoring, video on demand, cache reservation, and media shield. It also provides security solutions, such as DDoS protection, next-gen WAF, bot management, API and ATO protection, advanced rate limiting, privacy, and compliance services; load balancing; image optimization; and origin connect. In addition, the company offers professional services comprising managed and response security services; managed CDN; and support plans services. It serves customers operating in ecommerce, streaming media, gaming, digital publishing, and high tech to financial services industries. The company was formerly known as SkyCache, Inc. and changed its name to Fastly, Inc. in May 2012. Fastly, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock analysis

Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) currently trades at $29.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.66, implying the stock looks roughly 206.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.94 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $29.65 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.98, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $4.77 (bear) to $16.15 (bull), the price of $29.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $624M in FY2025 versus $354M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$122M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.4B · P/S ratio 4.80 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6900 · Net margin −19.5% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.1% · Operating margin −13.8% · Revenue (TTM) $653M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 371% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −67%, FSLY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.77 Fair Value $9.66 Bull $16.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $6.08 $10.95 $23.90 74
Growth DCF $5.78 $12.09 $23.38 74
5Y Revenue Exit $3.95 $7.79 $14.34 69
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.08 $10.95 $23.90 74
5Y Revenue Exit $3.95 $7.79 $14.34 69
10Y Revenue Exit $4.44 $8.94 $14.90 64
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.91 $4.55 $6.19 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.97 $3.98 $5.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.78 $12.09 $23.38 74
Rev-Margin DCF $3.95 $8.03 $13.99 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 15
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.9% (2020) → −18.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.5% a year for the price and +8.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+15.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.9%

FSLY screens 207% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

Compare Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 702 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.35× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.87× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 58.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)99 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €182.32 €159.06 −13%
Shopify Inc SHOP $147.74 $64.36 −56%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.00 $150.70 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $302.95 $225.14 −26%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $336.59 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $247.48 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $269.64 $177.51 −34%

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Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock · Fair Value
$9.66 −207%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSLY

Frequently asked questions

Is Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.66 versus a price of $29.65, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FSLY?
Our model-based fair value for Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $9.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $29.65.
What is the quality score of FSLY?
Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.77, optimistic scenario $16.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.66, about −67% upside versus a price of $29.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.77, optimistic scenario $16.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $653M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +28.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FSLY use?
Our models discount Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock that is +28.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock grew +16.5 % a year. The price currently implies +28.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (+28.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.51 %: that much free cash flow Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $9.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $29.65. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FSLY trades above its calculated fair value: price $29.65, fair value $9.66, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FSLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($29.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.66). For Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $19.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $29.65; our models calculate a fair value of $9.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FSLY?
Our models span a range for Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $4.77, base $9.66, optimistic $16.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $29.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.7%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FSLY from its 52-week high?
Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $29.65, about 15% below its 52-week high of $34.82 and 371% above the low of $6.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $29.65, calculated fair value $9.66 (−67%), Quality Score 51/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FSLY calculated?
We run Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $29.65. Our model-based fair value is $9.66, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($4.77 to $16.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The market capitalisation of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $4.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is 4.80 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Earnings per share at Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock are $−0.6900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The net margin of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −19.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
The operating margin of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY)?
Revenue at Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FSLY) carry?
The net debt of Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock is $250M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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