Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $11.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $9.32 to $13.60 (+45.9%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($9.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.66 – $10.75 · fair‑value band $9.99 – $16.82 · the $8.02 price screens below the $13.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) currently trades at $8.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.60, implying the stock looks roughly 69.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Subaru Corporation generated revenue of $4.8T at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $624B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.99 (bear case) to $16.82 (bull case); at $8.02, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 70%, FUJHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($18.68) versus Earnings-Based ($3.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Subaru Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and Internationally. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Aerospace, and Others.
Full company description
Subaru Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and Internationally. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Aerospace, and Others. The company manufactures, sells, and repairs automobiles and related components, aircraft, space-related devices, and the parts; and rents and manages real estate properties. It also involved in the shipping, land freight, and warehousing of vehicles; leasing and rental of vehicles; credit and financing of vehicles; inspection, service, and maintenance of aircraft. In addition, the company engages in the leasing of production, tools such as molds, and network equipment and devices, as well as for real estate such as stores, company-owned houses and warehouses for the automotive business. The company was formerly known as Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd. and changed its name to Subaru Corporation in April 2017. Subaru Corporation was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Subaru Corporation reported revenue of $5.1T in FY2026 versus $2.7T in FY2022, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $96.3B in FY2026, compounding +8.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +4.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +4.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- SUBARU TO ENTER CAPTIVE FINANCE BUSINESS IN THE U.S.
- SUBARU TO ENTER CAPTIVE FINANCE BUSINESS IN CANADA
- Subaru Volunteers Assemble 1,000 Appreciation Kits for Cooper Nurses and Donate $35,000 to the Cooper Foundation
- Subaru Loves Learning(R) Initiative Supports Over 1 Million Students in High-Needs Schools With Classroom Supply Funding Through AdoptAClass
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.22 | $247.83 | +32% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,610 MXN | +37% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,783 CZK | +262% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,875 | ₹8,236 | -41% |
| Kia Corporation 000270 | 135,600 KRW | 341,751 KRW | +152% |
| Weichai Power Co 2338 | HK$36.40 | HK$28.46 | -22% |
| Geely Automobile Holdings 80175 | HK$15.50 | HK$19.14 | +23% |
| Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO | ₹11,700 | ₹4,574 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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