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Data-driven stock valuation

Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Subaru Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $11.0B · ISIN US86428V1044

At a glance

SC Subaru Corp ADR logo Subaru Corp ADR FUJHY · US
Price$8.40
Fair Value$14.03
Upside+67.0%
Quality51/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of $14.03.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Subaru Corp ADR is $14.03 per share against a price of $8.40, so the fair value sits 67% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·5.21% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.31 to $17.35

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $13.60 to $14.03 (+3.2%) since Aug 23, 2026. Share price +8.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.31). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.75 $5.66 Fair Value $14.03 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.66 – $10.75 · fair‑value band $10.31 – $17.35 · the $8.40 price screens below the $14.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY) currently trades at $8.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.03, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $18.68 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the $8.40 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.36, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Subaru Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥4.8T at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥624B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $10.31 (bear) to $17.35 (bull), the price of $8.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 67%, FUJHY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $13.53 $18.26 $25.27 81
Growth DCF $13.74 $18.01 $24.00 80
Owner Earnings $13.81 $18.68 $25.90 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.53 $18.26 $25.27 81
Owner Earnings $13.81 $18.68 $25.90 77
5Y Revenue Exit $14.20 $20.09 $27.52 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $23.15 $36.49 $51.88 75
5Y P/E Exit $13.34 $18.52 $23.81 72
10Y Revenue Exit $13.54 $18.82 $25.70 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.53 $30.08 $43.93 68
10Y P/E Exit $13.32 $17.74 $22.93 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.20 $11.70 $15.38 65
Lynch FV $2.35 $3.36 $4.36 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.35 $3.36 $4.36 57
EPV $14.51 $16.23 $17.73 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.20 $13.60 $17.00 63
P/S Multiple $7.88 $10.51 $13.14 58
P/B Multiple $7.88 $10.51 $13.14 55
EV/EBIT $20.43 $25.83 $31.24 66
EV/EBITDA $31.63 $40.77 $49.90 67
EV/Revenue $15.14 $19.83 $24.51 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.96 $12.01 $17.92 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.74 $18.01 $24.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.20 $20.12 $26.71 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.15 $12.87 $11.18 71
ROIC Compounder $14.51 $16.23 $17.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.09 $11.56 $15.03 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($18.68) versus Earnings-Based ($3.36). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.5
P/S ratio 0.41 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3900 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.5
Dividend yield 5.2% payout 112%
Net margin 1.9% FY2026
Return on equity 3.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −2.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥4.8T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.1% 3y avg +10.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −61.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥131B FY2026
Net cash ¥624B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Subaru Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and Internationally. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Aerospace, and Others.

Full company description

Subaru Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and Internationally. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Aerospace, and Others. The company manufactures, sells, and repairs automobiles and related components, aircraft, space-related devices, and the parts; and rents and manages real estate properties. It also involved in the shipping, land freight, and warehousing of vehicles; leasing and rental of vehicles; credit and financing of vehicles; inspection, service, and maintenance of aircraft. In addition, the company engages in the leasing of production, tools such as molds, and network equipment and devices, as well as for real estate such as stores, company-owned houses and warehouses for the automotive business. The company was formerly known as Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd. and changed its name to Subaru Corporation in April 2017. Subaru Corporation was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Subaru Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥5.1T in FY2026 versus ¥2.7T in FY2022, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥96.3B in FY2026, compounding +8.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$5.1T
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+5.9%
Dividend yield5.2%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.9% vs 10Y −9.6%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.6% (2021) → 3.7% (2026) · steady
Worst earnings drop307% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY22 ¥2.7T
FY23 ¥3.8T
FY24 ¥4.7T
FY25 ¥4.7T
FY26 ¥5.1T
Net income +8.3%/yr
FY22 ¥70.0B
FY23 ¥200B
FY24 ¥385B
FY25 ¥338B
FY26 ¥96.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +1.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.9 %

of which total revenue +4.9 % · buybacks/dilution +3.8 %

EBIT margin −7.5 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Subaru Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FUJHY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Subaru Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-5.4 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+12.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.6 %
FCF yield on price7.03 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 24
FUTURE51 · sector 28
PAST13 · sector 21
HEALTH94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND100 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $188.78 $235.50 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$73.50 HK$46.64 −37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 418,500 KRW 567,393 KRW +36%
Ferrari N.V RACE €355.50 €167.67 −53%
General Motors Company GM $86.27 $52.69 −39%
Ford Motor Company F $13.88 $11.51 −17%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €47.69 €106.16 +123%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.91 €17.34 −61%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,694 ₹8,236 −35%
Volkswagen AG VOW €81.65 €248.34 +204%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.03 versus a price of $8.40, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FUJHY?
Our model-based fair value for Subaru Corp ADR is $14.03 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.40.
What is the quality score of FUJHY?
Subaru Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.03 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.31, optimistic scenario $17.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Subaru Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.03, about +67% upside versus a price of $8.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.31, optimistic scenario $17.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY)?
Subaru Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥4.8T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FUJHY?
The net profit margin of Subaru Corp ADR is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Subaru Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Subaru Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Subaru Corp ADR (FUJHY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Subaru Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -5.4 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.4 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FUJHY use?
Our models discount Subaru Corp ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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