PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk (FWCT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 163B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 105.59 IDR to 152.00 IDR (+44.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 62% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (101.00 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range 44.14 IDR – 216.08 IDR · fair‑value band 101.00 IDR – 152.86 IDR · the 94.00 IDR price screens below the 152.00 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk (FWCT) currently trades at 94.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 152.00 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 61.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk generated revenue of 1.2T IDR at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 66.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.2%. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 101.00 IDR (bear case) to 152.86 IDR (bull case); at 94.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at 62%, FWCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (125.51 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (79.00 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk manufactures and sells plywood products for industrial and residential needs in Indonesia. The company offers falcata, meranti/mixed light hardwood, white and natural birch, and veneer products.
Full company description
PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk manufactures and sells plywood products for industrial and residential needs in Indonesia. The company offers falcata, meranti/mixed light hardwood, white and natural birch, and veneer products. It also engages in the manufacture of ordinary plywood, such as plywood, multiply, interior, exterior, and related products, as well as coating shavings. In addition, the company provides management consulting services. Further, it engages in industry, trading, and shipping activities. PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk reported revenue of 1.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 845B IDR in FY2022, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 9.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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