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Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wijaya Cahaya Timber IDR 139, price IDR 88, upside +58.2%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · ID

WC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Wijaya Cahaya Timber

FWCT · JK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 139.20 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+58%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +19.4 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -3.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.7%
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

216.08 IDR 44.14 IDR Fair Value 139.20 IDR Feb 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range 44.14 IDR – 216.08 IDR · fair‑value band 97.44 IDR – 139.20 IDR · the 88.00 IDR price screens below the 139.20 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk manufactures and sells plywood products for industrial and residential needs in Indonesia. The company offers falcata, meranti/mixed light hardwood, white and natural birch, and veneer products.

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PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk manufactures and sells plywood products for industrial and residential needs in Indonesia. The company offers falcata, meranti/mixed light hardwood, white and natural birch, and veneer products. It also engages in the manufacture of ordinary plywood, such as plywood, multiply, interior, exterior, and related products, as well as coating shavings. In addition, the company provides management consulting services. Further, it engages in industry, trading, and shipping activities. PT Wijaya Cahaya Timber Tbk was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT) currently trades at 88.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 139.20 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 36.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 123.07 IDR per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the 88.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 79.00 IDR, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 97.44 IDR (bear) to 139.20 IDR (bull), the price of 88.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wijaya Cahaya Timber reported revenue of 1.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 845B IDR in FY2022, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 9.6B IDR in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 173B IDR (≈ $9.7M) · P/S ratio 0.15 · Dividend yield 8.4% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity −13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1% · Operating margin 0.4% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2T IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 58%, FWCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 97.44 IDR Fair Value 139.20 IDR Bull 139.20 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 126.07 IDR 123.07 IDR 102.15 IDR 73
EPV 105.98 IDR 125.02 IDR 141.44 IDR 71
ROIC Compounder 105.98 IDR 125.02 IDR 141.44 IDR 69
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 33.22 IDR 195.10 IDR 271.63 IDR 61
Lynch FV 55.30 IDR 79.00 IDR 102.70 IDR 58
PEG = 1.0 55.30 IDR 79.00 IDR 102.70 IDR 55
EPV 105.98 IDR 125.02 IDR 141.44 IDR 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 67.11 IDR 133.72 IDR 202.50 IDR 64
DDM Multi-Stage 67.11 IDR 115.57 IDR 141.15 IDR 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple 62.29 IDR 83.06 IDR 103.82 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 62.29 IDR 83.06 IDR 103.82 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 62.29 IDR 83.06 IDR 103.82 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 161.67 IDR 220.41 IDR 279.15 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 138.18 IDR 203.63 IDR 269.08 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 88.12 IDR 118.08 IDR 176.24 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 126.07 IDR 123.07 IDR 102.15 IDR 73
ROIC Compounder 105.98 IDR 125.02 IDR 141.44 IDR 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 73.91 IDR 105.59 IDR 137.26 IDR 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2022) → 2.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 75 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $176.70 $194.37 +10%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $83.02 $101.34 +22%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $79.00 $52.27 −34%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹711.90 ₹201.01 −72%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥11.34 ¥15.06 +33%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$16.13 C$4.54 −72%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$15.24 C$6.43 −58%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥2.15 ¥0.5400 −75%
Greenply Industries Limited GREENPLY ₹298.40 ₹100.71 −66%
Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group 601996 ¥2.99 ¥3.01 +1%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wijaya Cahaya Timber Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FWCT

Frequently asked questions

Is Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 139.20 IDR versus a price of 88.00 IDR, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FWCT?
Our model-based fair value for Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 139.20 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 88.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of FWCT?
Wijaya Cahaya Timber has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 139.20 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 97.44 IDR, optimistic scenario 139.20 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wijaya Cahaya Timber stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 139.20 IDR, about +58% upside versus a price of 88.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 97.44 IDR, optimistic scenario 139.20 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Wijaya Cahaya Timber reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wijaya Cahaya Timber pay a dividend?
Wijaya Cahaya Timber currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wijaya Cahaya Timber it is 139.20 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 88.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wijaya Cahaya Timber stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FWCT trades below its calculated fair value: price 88.00 IDR, fair value 139.20 IDR, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FWCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (88.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (139.20 IDR). For Wijaya Cahaya Timber the two are 51.20 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wijaya Cahaya Timber worth?
The market values Wijaya Cahaya Timber at about 173B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 88.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 139.20 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FWCT?
Our models span a range for Wijaya Cahaya Timber: cautious scenario 97.44 IDR, base 139.20 IDR, optimistic 139.20 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 88.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wijaya Cahaya Timber (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −13.4%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FWCT from its 52-week high?
Wijaya Cahaya Timber trades at 88.00 IDR, about 47% below its 52-week high of 166.00 IDR and 44% above the low of 61.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 139.20 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wijaya Cahaya Timber?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wijaya Cahaya Timber stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 88.00 IDR, calculated fair value 139.20 IDR (+58%), Quality Score 34/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FWCT calculated?
We run Wijaya Cahaya Timber through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 139.20 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Wijaya Cahaya Timber currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 88.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 139.20 IDR, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wijaya Cahaya Timber right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (97.44 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Wijaya Cahaya Timber

How large is the market capitalisation of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The market capitalisation of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 173B IDR (≈ $9.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The dividend yield of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 8.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The net margin of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 11.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
The operating margin of Wijaya Cahaya Timber is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Revenue at Wijaya Cahaya Timber is growing −0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wijaya Cahaya Timber (FWCT)?
Earnings per share at Wijaya Cahaya Timber are growing −46.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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