GEA Group (G1A) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €9.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €50.68 to €50.75 (+0.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€35.62 to €66.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €28.87 – €64.99 · fair‑value band €35.62 – €66.76 · the €64.15 price screens above the €50.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
GEA Group (G1A) currently trades at €64.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €50.75, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GEA Group generated revenue of €5.5B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €379M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €35.62 (bear case) to €66.76 (bull case); at €64.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -21%, G1A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€50.86) versus Asset-Based (€10.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft produces and supplies systems and components to the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical industries worldwide. The company operates through Separation & Flow Technologies; Liquid & Power Technologies; Food & Health Technologies; Farm Technologies; and Heating & Refrigeration Technologies segments.
Full company description
GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft produces and supplies systems and components to the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical industries worldwide. The company operates through Separation & Flow Technologies; Liquid & Power Technologies; Food & Health Technologies; Farm Technologies; and Heating & Refrigeration Technologies segments. It manufactures process-related components and machinery, notably separators, decanters, homogenizers, valves, and pumps; and process solutions, including brewing systems, liquid processing and filling, concentration, fermentation, crystallization, purification, drying, powder handling, and packaging, as well as systems for carbon capture and emission control for dairy, new-food, beverage, food, chemical, and other industries. The company also prepares, marinates, and processes meat, poultry, seafood, vegan products, and snack and pasta, as well as slicing, packaging lines, freeze drying, granulators, and tablet presses for pharmaceutical industry. In addition, it offers customer solutions for milk production and livestock farming comprising automatic milking and feeding system, conventional milking solutions, manure handling, and digital herd management tools; and energy solutions in the field of industrial refrigeration and heating for various industries, including food, beverage, dairy, oil and gas, supporting automation, digital, and service platform. The company was formerly known as mg technologies ag and changed its name to GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft in 2005. GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GEA Group reported revenue of €5.5B in FY2025 versus €4.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was €414M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
G1A screens 21% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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