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Group One Capital Limited (G1C) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Group One Capital Limited A$0.04, price A$0.06, upside -29.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · AU · ISIN AU0000423741

GO Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Group One Capital Limited

G1C · AU

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value A$0.0419 · Overvalued (−29%)
!Quality 60/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.1 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 45.9% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
✓Wide moat 70/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.2650 A$0.0080 Fair Value A$0.0419 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0080 – A$0.2650 · fair‑value band A$0.0360 – A$0.0478 · the A$0.0590 price screens above the A$0.0419 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Group One Capital Limited engages in the property development, management, investment, and sourcing debt and equity structured facility activities in Australia. The company was formerly known as Raptis Group Limited and changed its name to Group One Capital Limited in October 2025. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Bundall, Australia.

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Group One Capital Limited engages in the property development, management, investment, and sourcing debt and equity structured facility activities in Australia. The company was formerly known as Raptis Group Limited and changed its name to Group One Capital Limited in October 2025. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Bundall, Australia. Group One Capital Limited is a subsidiary of Hanslow Holdings Pty Limited.

Stock analysis

Group One Capital Limited (G1C) currently trades at A$0.0590, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0419, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.0300 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$0.0590 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0360 (bear) to A$0.0478 (bull), the price of A$0.0590 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Group One Capital Limited reported revenue of A$627K in FY2025 versus A$416K in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$310K in FY2025, compounding −12.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$17.6M (≈ $12.4M) · P/S ratio 13.3 · Net margin 49.4% · Return on equity 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin 43.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.3M · Revenue growth (YoY) +246%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −29%, G1C screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0360 Fair Value A$0.0419 Bull A$0.0478
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 74
Residual Income A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
5Y P/E Exit A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 66
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 66
10Y P/E Exit A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0100 A$0.0400 A$0.0600 61
Lynch FV A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 63
P/B Multiple A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 74
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+21.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.39% vs 17%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 27%
2025 sits 151% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 35.8%/yr over ~16Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.6% a year for the price.

G1C screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 246% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.29× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 9.35× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 50.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 17.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,909 CLP 5,629 CLP +44%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Group One Capital Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/G1C

Frequently asked questions

Is Group One Capital Limited (G1C) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0419 versus a price of A$0.0590, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of G1C?
Our model-based fair value for Group One Capital Limited is A$0.0419 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0590.
What is the quality score of G1C?
Group One Capital Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0419 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Group One Capital Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0419, about −29% upside versus a price of A$0.0590 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0360, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Group One Capital Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Group One Capital Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +14.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of G1C use?
Our models discount Group One Capital Limited at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Group One Capital Limited that is +14.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Group One Capital Limited (G1C) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Group One Capital Limited grew +27.1 % a year. The price currently implies +14.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Group One Capital Limited (G1C) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Group One Capital Limited (+14.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.59 %: that much free cash flow Group One Capital Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Group One Capital Limited it is A$0.0419 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0590. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Group One Capital Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, G1C trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0590, fair value A$0.0419, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of G1C?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0590); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0419). For Group One Capital Limited the two are A$0.0171 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Group One Capital Limited worth?
The market values Group One Capital Limited at about A$17.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0590; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0419 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about G1C?
Our models span a range for Group One Capital Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0360, base A$0.0419, optimistic A$0.0478 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0590). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Balance-sheet figures for Group One Capital Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 13.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is G1C from its 52-week high?
Group One Capital Limited trades at A$0.0590, about 61% below its 52-week high of A$0.1500 and 31% above the low of A$0.0450 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0419 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Group One Capital Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Group One Capital Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0590, calculated fair value A$0.0419 (−29%), Quality Score 60/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of G1C calculated?
We run Group One Capital Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0419, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Group One Capital Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0590. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0419, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Group One Capital Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0478). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Group One Capital Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The market capitalisation of Group One Capital Limited is A$17.6M (≈ $12.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Group One Capital Limited is 13.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The net margin of Group One Capital Limited is 49.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Group One Capital Limited is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Group One Capital Limited is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
The operating margin of Group One Capital Limited is 43.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Revenue at Group One Capital Limited is growing +246% versus a year earlier (3y avg +74.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Group One Capital Limited (G1C)?
Earnings per share at Group One Capital Limited are growing +46.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Group One Capital Limited (G1C) hold?
Group One Capital Limited holds more cash than debt, A$2.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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