Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TR · Market cap 533B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (190.50 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.85 TRY – 158.59 TRY · fair‑value band 190.50 TRY – 317.49 TRY · the 127.00 TRY price screens below the 254.00 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) currently trades at 127.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 254.00 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. generated revenue of 381B TRY at a net margin of 31.6%. Revenue grew 24.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. Net debt stands at 394B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 190.50 TRY (bear case) to 317.49 TRY (bull case); at 127.00 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 100%, GARAN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,157 TRY) versus Asset-Based (70.84 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. provides various banking products and services in Turkey. It offers current, savings, time deposit, e-savings, YUVAM, NET, ELMA, overdraft, and gold accounts; SME general purpose, auto, mortgage, commercial, foreign currency spot, installment loans, and project loans, as well as IBOR reforms and foreign trade financing; …
Full company description
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. provides various banking products and services in Turkey. It offers current, savings, time deposit, e-savings, YUVAM, NET, ELMA, overdraft, and gold accounts; SME general purpose, auto, mortgage, commercial, foreign currency spot, installment loans, and project loans, as well as IBOR reforms and foreign trade financing; investment funds, stocks, derivatives, Garanti BBVA e-trader platform, time barred deposit and investment lists, and derivative instruments; credit and debit cards, BonusFlas, and POS and e-commerce products; and insurance and pension products. The company also provides payment systems and services; private banking services; banking services for salary payments/entrepreneurship and women entrepreneurs; leasing fleet factoring services; investment banking and financing services; mobile and internet banking services; and ATM and cash management services. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is a subsidiary of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. reported revenue of 410B TRY in FY2025 versus 61.6B TRY in FY2021, a compound +60.7%/yr. Reported net income was 110B TRY in FY2025, compounding +70.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1084 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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