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Data-driven stock valuation

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. stock TRY 150, price TRY 144, upside +4.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services TR · ISIN TRAGARAN91N1

TG Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. logo Some data Nov 4, 2026

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S.

GARAN · IS
Fairly valued, in an uptrend

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Highly profitable · 30.8% net margin (TTM)
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 77/100
Costs just 5 times its yearly profit.
Fair value 150.07 TRY · Fairly valued (+4.0%)
Quality 52/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +60.0 %/yr in TRY)
Some data
⚠ Small free float

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Macroprudential rules constrain strategy🚩Neobanks erode retail customer base🚩Short-term FC debt raises refinancing risk
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

158.59 TRY 7.10 TRY Fair Value 150.07 TRY Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.10 TRY – 158.59 TRY · fair‑value band 126.85 TRY – 195.46 TRY · the 144.30 TRY price screens below the 150.07 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. provides various banking products and services in Turkey.

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It offers current, savings, time deposit, e-savings, YUVAM, NET, ELMA, overdraft, and gold accounts; SME general purpose, auto, mortgage, commercial, foreign currency spot, installment loans, and project loans, as well as IBOR reforms and foreign trade financing; investment funds, stocks, derivatives, Garanti BBVA e-trader platform, time barred deposit and investment lists, and derivative instruments; credit and debit cards, BonusFlas, and POS and e-commerce products; and insurance and pension products.

The company also provides payment systems and services; private banking services; banking services for salary payments/entrepreneurship and women entrepreneurs; leasing fleet factoring services; investment banking and financing services; mobile and internet banking services; and ATM and cash management services.

The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is a subsidiary of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

Stock analysis

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) currently trades at 144.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 150.07 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.8%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 215.95 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 144.30 TRY price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 35.99 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 126.85 TRY (bear) to 195.46 TRY (bull), the price of 144.30 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. reported revenue of 410B TRY in FY2025 versus 61.6B TRY in FY2021, a compound +60.7%/yr. Reported net income was 110B TRY in FY2025, compounding +70.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 606B TRY (≈ $12.1B) Large · P/E ratio 5.0 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) 28.95 TRY · Net margin 30.8% · Return on equity 26.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 43.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 4%, GARAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 126.85 TRY Fair Value 150.07 TRY Bull 195.46 TRY
Price 144.30 TRY · Upside +4.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (24.75 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 126.85 TRY 150.07 TRY 195.46 TRY 76
Gordon GGM 32.20 TRY 34.48 TRY 37.84 TRY 69
DDM Multi-Stage 32.20 TRY 37.49 TRY 44.12 TRY 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 32.20 TRY 34.48 TRY 37.84 TRY 69
DDM Multi-Stage 32.20 TRY 37.49 TRY 44.12 TRY 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 254.93 TRY 339.91 TRY 424.88 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 68.99 TRY 91.99 TRY 114.98 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 51.94 TRY 69.59 TRY 103.87 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 126.85 TRY 150.07 TRY 195.46 TRY 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 44
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 71
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 32
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 57
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+77.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+77.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +4.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 26.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 30.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 43.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 21.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.52× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.78× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs GARAN
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs GARAN
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs GARAN
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs GARAN
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs GARAN
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs GARAN
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.90 −37% vs GARAN
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs GARAN
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs GARAN
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs GARAN

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Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GARAN

Frequently asked questions

Is Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 150.07 TRY versus a price of 144.30 TRY, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GARAN?
Our model-based fair value for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 150.07 TRY (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 144.30 TRY.
What is the quality score of GARAN?
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 150.07 TRY (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 126.85 TRY, optimistic scenario 195.46 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 150.07 TRY, about +4% upside versus a price of 144.30 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 126.85 TRY, optimistic scenario 195.46 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 400B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. it is 150.07 TRY per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 144.30 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, GARAN trades below its calculated fair value: price 144.30 TRY, fair value 150.07 TRY, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GARAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (144.30 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (150.07 TRY). For Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. the two are 5.77 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. worth?
The market values Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. at about 606B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 144.30 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 150.07 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GARAN?
Our models span a range for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S.: cautious scenario 126.85 TRY, base 150.07 TRY, optimistic 195.46 TRY per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 144.30 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GARAN?
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 150.07 TRY is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 5.5. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.4, P/S 1.5.
What is the PEG ratio of GARAN?
The PEG ratio of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 0.78 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 26.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GARAN from its 52-week high?
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. trades at 144.30 TRY, about 9% below its 52-week high of 158.59 TRY and 20% above the low of 120.00 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 150.07 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 144.30 TRY, calculated fair value 150.07 TRY (+4%), Quality Score 52/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GARAN calculated?
We run Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 150.07 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. currently trades 4% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 144.30 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 150.07 TRY, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S.

How large is the market capitalisation of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The market capitalisation of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 606B TRY (≈ $12.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Earnings per share at Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. are 28.95 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The net margin of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 30.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 26.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
The operating margin of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 43.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Revenue at Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is growing +21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN)?
Earnings per share at Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. are growing +8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is −5.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. (GARAN) carry?
The net debt of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. is 394B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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