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StealthGas Inc (GASS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $308M

SI StealthGas Inc logo StealthGas Inc GASS · US
Price$8.59
Fair Value$6.11
Upside-28.8%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 35.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $5.38 – $7.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $17.47 to $6.11 (−65.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.39 $1.95 Fair Value $6.11 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.95 – $10.39 · fair‑value band $5.38 – $7.41 · the $8.59 price screens above the $6.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

StealthGas Inc (GASS) currently trades at $8.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.11, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, StealthGas Inc generated revenue of $174M at a net margin of 35.9%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $99.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.38 (bear case) to $7.41 (bull case); at $8.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -29%, GASS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $23.08 $32.39 $44.35 80
Residual Income $14.71 $15.53 $17.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF $11.94 $15.54 $19.79 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $23.05 $34.01 $49.14 38
Owner Earnings $23.24 $34.29 $49.54 31
5Y Revenue Exit $11.94 $15.16 $18.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.93 $20.89 $27.64 41
5Y P/E Exit $18.93 $28.55 $38.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $16.13 $20.13 $24.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.00 $23.81 $31.19 37
10Y P/E Exit $20.35 $28.73 $39.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.09 $38.69 $52.01 54
Lynch FV $9.00 $12.85 $16.71 50
PEG = 1.0 $9.00 $12.85 $16.71 46
EPV $11.67 $13.13 $14.34 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.13 $22.83 $28.54 63
P/S Multiple $4.19 $5.59 $6.99 58
P/B Multiple $20.79 $27.73 $34.66 55
EV/EBIT $12.12 $15.82 $19.53 53
EV/EBITDA $10.73 $13.97 $17.21 54
EV/Revenue $4.92 $6.60 $8.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.28 $12.44 $18.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $23.08 $32.39 $44.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.94 $15.54 $19.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.71 $15.53 $17.03 76
ROIC Compounder $11.67 $13.13 $14.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.65 $22.36 $29.07 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($23.81) versus Asset-Based ($12.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $174M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin 35.9%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $84.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.9
More key figures
Operating margin 27.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.69
EPS growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net cash $99.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

StealthGas Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne transportation services to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) producers and users in Greece and internationally.

Full company description

StealthGas Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne transportation services to liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) producers and users in Greece and internationally. The company's LPG carriers carry various petroleum gas products in liquefied form, including propane, butane, butadiene, isopropane, propylene, and vinyl chloride monomer, as well as ammonia. It also offers crude oil and natural gas. The company operates a fleet of 29 LPG carriers, including one JV vessel. StealthGas Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

StealthGas Inc reported revenue of $173M in FY2025 versus $150M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $60.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$173M
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.6%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 $150M
FY22 $153M
FY23 $144M
FY24 $167M
FY25 $173M
Net income
FY21 −$35.1M
FY22 $34.3M
FY23 $51.9M
FY24 $69.9M
FY25 $60.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +17.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.6 pp

of which total revenue +1.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin +4.4 pp
Tax rate −0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +11.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GASS screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "StealthGas Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GASS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.85× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 10 · sector 18
PAST 37 · sector 27
HEALTH 96 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is StealthGas Inc (GASS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.11 versus a price of $8.59, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GASS?
Our model-based fair value for StealthGas Inc is $6.11 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.59.
What is the quality score of GASS?
StealthGas Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of StealthGas Inc (GASS)?
StealthGas Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $174M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GASS?
The net profit margin of StealthGas Inc is about 35.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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