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GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹621M

GS GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. GAYATRI · BSE
Price₹8.38
Fair Value₹2.86
Upside-65.9%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ₹2.14 – ₹3.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹2.72 to ₹2.86 (+5.1%) since Aug 12, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹29.39 ₹1.00 Fair Value ₹2.86 Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1.00 – ₹29.39 · fair‑value band ₹2.14 – ₹3.57 · the ₹8.38 price screens above the ₹2.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) currently trades at ₹8.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.86, implying the stock looks roughly 65.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. generated revenue of ₹3.7B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 21.5% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹1.1B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 83.8. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹2.14 (bear case) to ₹3.57 (bull case); at ₹8.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -66%, GAYATRI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹44.48 ₹59.39 ₹82.48 80
Residual Income ₹7.15 ₹6.67 ₹4.57 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹23.21 ₹33.01 ₹45.66 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹42.81 ₹58.53 ₹84.91 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹23.21 ₹31.64 ₹43.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹27.61 ₹39.24 ₹54.66 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹14.78 ₹17.06 ₹20.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹31.20 ₹37.85 ₹44.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹34.05 ₹42.14 ₹50.23 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹26.93 ₹29.61 ₹31.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.9300 ₹1.13 ₹1.27 54
EPV ₹3.79 ₹5.53 ₹6.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹8.92 ₹9.62 ₹10.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹8.92 ₹10.62 ₹12.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹2.14 ₹2.86 ₹3.57 63
P/S Multiple ₹1.74 ₹2.31 ₹2.89 58
P/B Multiple ₹1.74 ₹2.31 ₹2.89 55
EV/EBIT ₹16.76 ₹25.34 ₹33.91 53
EV/EBITDA ₹19.84 ₹29.45 ₹39.05 54
EV/Revenue ₹9.40 ₹17.27 ₹25.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.48 ₹7.35 ₹10.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹44.48 ₹59.39 ₹82.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹23.21 ₹33.01 ₹45.66 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹7.15 ₹6.67 ₹4.57 76
ROIC Compounder ₹3.79 ₹5.53 ₹6.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1.51 ₹2.16 ₹2.81 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹37.85) versus Earnings-Based (₹1.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.5%
Net margin 0.3%
Free cash flow ₹474M FY2025
P/E ratio 83.8
Operating margin 15.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net debt ₹1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gayatri Sugars Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar and allied products in India. It operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. The company offers sugar; distillery products, including impure spirits and ethanol; and by-products, such as molasses and bagasse; as well as hand sanitizers. It also operates a power generation unit.

Full company description

Gayatri Sugars Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar and allied products in India. It operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. The company offers sugar; distillery products, including impure spirits and ethanol; and by-products, such as molasses and bagasse; as well as hand sanitizers. It also operates a power generation unit. Gayatri Sugars Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2025 versus ₹31.0B in FY2021, a compound −41.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹3.7B
Latest YoY
−18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−28.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−37.7%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.7%
Revenue −41.4%/yr
FY21 ₹31.0B
FY22 ₹10.2B
FY23 ₹6.8B
FY24 ₹4.5B
FY25 ₹3.7B
Net income
FY21 −₹9.6B
FY22 −₹15.0B
FY23 ₹415M
FY24 ₹1.2B
FY25 ₹10.1M

GAYATRI screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAYATRI

Peer Group

Confectioners · 80 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 83.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 19
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH59 · sector 92
DIVIDEND100 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN CHF 94,500 CHF 9,669 -90%
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $62.66 $27.36 -56%
The Hershey Company HSY $184.23 $91.25 -50%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,136 CHF 711.91 -37%
ORION Corp 271560 132,800 KRW 203,315 KRW +53%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥20.48 ¥9.09 -56%
Cloetta AB CLAB kr 54.85 kr 59.12 +8%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹652.15 ₹318.59 -51%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,295 IDR 1,140 IDR -12%
ORION Holdings 001800 26,850 KRW 42,237 KRW +57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.86 versus a price of ₹8.38, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAYATRI?
Our model-based fair value for GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is ₹2.86 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹8.38.
What is the quality score of GAYATRI?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GAYATRI?
The net profit margin of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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