GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. ₹3.94, price ₹7.34, upside -46.3%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1.10 – ₹29.39 · fair‑value band ₹2.55 – ₹5.08 · the ₹7.34 price screens above the ₹3.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Gayatri Sugars Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar and allied products in India. It operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. The company offers sugar; distillery products, including impure spirits and ethanol; and by-products, such as molasses and bagasse; as well as hand sanitizers. It also operates a power generation unit.
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Gayatri Sugars Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar and allied products in India. It operates through Sugar and Distillery segments. The company offers sugar; distillery products, including impure spirits and ethanol; and by-products, such as molasses and bagasse; as well as hand sanitizers. It also operates a power generation unit. Gayatri Sugars Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) currently trades at ₹7.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.94, 46.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹7.35 per share, and 16 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹7.34 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹1.13, and 6 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹2.55 (bear) to ₹5.08 (bull), the price of ₹7.34 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2025 versus ₹31.0B in FY2021, a compound −41.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹545M (≈ $5.7M) · P/E ratio 244.6 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0300 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.8% · Operating margin −50.6% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.6B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −46%, GAYATRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2.55Fair Value ₹3.94Bull ₹5.08
Price ₹7.34 · Upside -46.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0227 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−35.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−20% → 4%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−46.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−50.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)244.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF1.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.8× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)59· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.94 versus a price of ₹7.34, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAYATRI?
Our model-based fair value for GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is ₹3.94 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹7.34.
What is the quality score of GAYATRI?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹3.94 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2.55, optimistic scenario ₹5.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹3.94, about −46% upside versus a price of ₹7.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2.55, optimistic scenario ₹5.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. it is ₹3.94 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹7.34. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GAYATRI trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹7.34, fair value ₹3.94, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAYATRI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹7.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹3.94). For GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. the two are ₹3.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. worth?
The market values GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. at about ₹545M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹7.34; our models calculate a fair value of ₹3.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAYATRI?
Our models span a range for GAYATRI SUGARS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹2.55, base ₹3.94, optimistic ₹5.08 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹7.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GAYATRI?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 244.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹3.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Balance-sheet figures for GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAYATRI from its 52-week high?
GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. trades at ₹7.34, about 51% below its 52-week high of ₹15.13 and 3% above the low of ₹7.11 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹3.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GAYATRI SUGARS LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹7.34, calculated fair value ₹3.94 (−46%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAYATRI calculated?
We run GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹3.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹7.34. Our model-based fair value is ₹3.94, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹2.55 to ₹5.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
The market capitalisation of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is ₹545M (≈ $5.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is 0.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Earnings per share at GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. are ₹0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 244.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
The net margin of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is −8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
The operating margin of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is −50.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Revenue at GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is growing −11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI)?
Earnings per share at GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. are growing +18.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) generate?
The free cash flow of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is ₹474M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. (GAYATRI) carry?
The net debt of GAYATRI SUGARS LTD. is ₹1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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