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GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited (GCP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 656M GBX

GI GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited GCP · LSE
Price£0.8270
Fair Value£0.3900
Upside-52.8%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 70.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
8.35% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range £0.2900 – £0.4900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from £0.3800 to £0.3900 (+2.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.4900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.8472 £0.4667 Fair Value £0.3900 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.4667 – £0.8472 · fair‑value band £0.2900 – £0.4900 · the £0.8270 price screens above the £0.3900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited (GCP) currently trades at £0.8270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited generated revenue of £33.7M at a net margin of 54.4%. Revenue grew 36.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at £19.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.2900 (bear case) to £0.4900 (bull case); at £0.8270, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -53%, GCP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple £0.6800 £0.9000 £1.13 55
NCAV (Graham) £0.5300 £0.7100 £1.06 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple £0.6800 £0.9000 £1.13 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.5300 £0.7100 £1.06 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (£0.9000) versus Asset-Based (£0.7100). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 33.7M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +184%
Net margin 54.4%
Return on equity 2.1%
Free cash flow 124M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 38.5
More key figures
Operating margin 78.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.0200
Dividend yield 9.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +4,459%
Net debt 19.3M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited focuses on investing in the United Kingdom infrastructure debt. The company makes infrastructure investments through acquiring interests in debt instruments issued by infrastructure project companies. It primarily invests in senior and subordinated debt instruments.

Full company description

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited focuses on investing in the United Kingdom infrastructure debt. The company makes infrastructure investments through acquiring interests in debt instruments issued by infrastructure project companies. It primarily invests in senior and subordinated debt instruments. GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Saint Helier, Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited reported revenue of £25.6M in FY2025 versus £2.9M in FY2021, a compound +72.9%/yr. Reported net income was £18.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£25.6M
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−26.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+55.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+15.3%
Revenue +72.9%/yr
FY21 £2.9M
FY22 £65.0M
FY23 £149M
FY24 £22.3M
FY25 £25.6M
Net income
FY21 −£726K
FY22 £62.4M
FY23 £140M
FY24 £19.5M
FY25 £18.4M

GCP screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCP

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 71% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 76% · Above median
Revenue growth 184% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 17.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 56.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 16 · sector 26
HEALTH 90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited (GCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.3900 versus a price of £0.8270, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GCP?
Our model-based fair value for GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited is £0.3900 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.8270.
What is the quality score of GCP?
GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited (GCP)?
GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £33.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GCP?
The net profit margin of GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited is about 54.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 54.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited pay a dividend?
GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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