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General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of General Dynamics Corporation BRL 1,274, price BRL 1,719, upside -25.9%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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GD
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
General Dynamics Corporation
GDBR34 · SAOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value R$1,274 · Overvalued (−25.9%)
✓Quality 65/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 54/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$858.91 – R$2,086 · fair‑value band R$786.84 – R$1,848 · the R$1,719 price screens above the R$1,274 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies.
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General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment produces and sells business jets; and offers aircraft maintenance and repair, management, aircraft-on-ground support, customer support and custom completion services, modifications, upgrades, and lifecycle sustainment support services. The Marine Systems segment designs and builds nuclear-powered submarines, surface combatants, and auxiliary ships for the United States Navy and Jones Act ships for commercial customers, as well as provides maintenance, modernization, and lifecycle support services for navy ships; offers and program management, planning, engineering, and design support services for submarine construction programs. The Combat Systems segment manufactures land combat solutions, such as wheeled and tracked combat vehicles, Stryker wheeled combat vehicles, piranha vehicles, weapons systems, energetics and munitions, mobile bridge systems with payloads, tactical vehicles, main battle tanks, and armored vehicles; and offers modernization programs, support and sustainment services, and development programs. The Technologies segment provides information technology solutions and mission support services; mobile communication, computers, and command-and-control mission systems; intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions to military, intelligence, and federal civilian customers; cloud services, cybersecurity, network modernization, artificial intelligence; machine learning; application development, high-performance computing, and 5G and advanced communications services; and unmanned undersea vehicle manufacturing and assembly services. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Stock analysis
General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) currently trades at R$1,719, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1,274, 25.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$1,526 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$1,719 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$331.81, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$786.84 (bear) to R$1,848 (bull), the price of R$1,719 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
General Dynamics Corporation reported revenue of $52.6B in FY2025 versus $38.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $4.2B in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$516B (≈ $98.8B) · P/E ratio 20.9 · P/S ratio 1.67 · EPS (TTM) R$82.43 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −26%, GDBR34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$786.84
Fair Value R$1,274
Bull R$1,848
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$57.73 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
R$861.68
R$1,403
R$2,233
79
Growth DCF
R$877.00
R$1,354
R$2,040
78
Owner Earnings
R$864.77
R$1,407
R$2,241
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
R$861.68
R$1,403
R$2,233
79
Owner Earnings
R$864.77
R$1,407
R$2,241
75
5Y Revenue Exit
R$827.58
R$1,385
R$2,096
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
R$928.95
R$1,575
R$2,329
74
5Y P/E Exit
R$986.08
R$1,683
R$2,416
70
10Y Revenue Exit
R$802.05
R$1,315
R$2,006
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
R$895.66
R$1,448
R$2,184
67
10Y P/E Exit
R$932.15
R$1,522
R$2,250
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
R$553.35
R$1,762
R$2,348
64
Lynch FV
R$388.48
R$554.97
R$721.47
61
PEG = 1.0
R$388.48
R$554.97
R$721.47
57
EPV
R$776.69
R$921.20
R$1,048
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
R$282.72
R$587.82
R$932.52
66
DDM Multi-Stage
R$282.72
R$472.29
R$616.94
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
R$1,282
R$1,709
R$2,136
63
P/S Multiple
R$1,038
R$1,383
R$1,729
58
P/B Multiple
R$1,038
R$1,383
R$1,729
55
EV/EBIT
R$1,230
R$1,670
R$2,110
66
EV/EBITDA
R$1,093
R$1,488
R$1,882
67
EV/Revenue
R$851.74
R$1,255
R$1,659
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
R$247.62
R$331.81
R$495.24
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
R$877.00
R$1,354
R$2,040
78
Rev-Margin DCF
R$827.58
R$1,385
R$2,029
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
R$529.54
R$674.93
R$1,026
75
ROIC Compounder
R$833.41
R$1,089
R$1,400
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
R$1,068
R$1,526
R$1,984
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
65/100
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Profitability
49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.8% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%
GDBR34 screens overvalued: fair value 26% below the price. Compare with RTX Corporation →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Here's Why General Dynamics (GD) Fell More Than Broader Market
- Could Lockheed Martin (LMT)’s Missile Defense Boom Give it an Edge Over General Dynamics (GD)?
- What Does General Dynamics (GD) Winning New Stryker Work Mean Through 2028?
- Can Stryker Vehicle Demand Support General Dynamics' Growth?
Compare General Dynamics Corporation with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Weapons
Defense
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $312.29 | $92.61 | −70% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $185.01 | $88.30 | −52% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €185.60 | €112.14 | −40% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $509.25 | $439.62 | −14% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $230.94 | $52.67 | −77% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $504.61 | $382.98 | −24% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,116 | $1,228 | +10% |
| Thales S.A HO | €222.70 | €170.99 | −23% |
| Rheinmetall AG RHM | €956.90 | €313.19 | −67% |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX | $236.47 | $260.12 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$1,274 versus a price of R$1,719, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GDBR34?
Our model-based fair value for General Dynamics Corporation is R$1,274 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$1,719.
What is the quality score of GDBR34?
General Dynamics Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$1,274 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$786.84, optimistic scenario R$1,848. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the General Dynamics Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$1,274, about −26% upside versus a price of R$1,719 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$786.84, optimistic scenario R$1,848. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
General Dynamics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does General Dynamics Corporation pay a dividend?
General Dynamics Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, General Dynamics Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.7 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GDBR34 use?
Our models discount General Dynamics Corporation at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For General Dynamics Corporation that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at General Dynamics Corporation grew +6.7 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into General Dynamics Corporation (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.45 %: that much free cash flow General Dynamics Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For General Dynamics Corporation it is R$1,274 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$1,719. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is General Dynamics Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, GDBR34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$1,719, fair value R$1,274, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDBR34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$1,719); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$1,274). For General Dynamics Corporation the two are R$445.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is General Dynamics Corporation worth?
The market values General Dynamics Corporation at about R$516B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$1,719; our models calculate a fair value of R$1,274 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDBR34?
Our models span a range for General Dynamics Corporation: cautious scenario R$786.84, base R$1,274, optimistic R$1,848 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$1,719). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is GDBR34 from its 52-week high?
General Dynamics Corporation trades at R$1,719, about 18% below its 52-week high of R$2,086 and 11% above the low of R$1,546 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$1,274 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to General Dynamics Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is General Dynamics Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$1,719, calculated fair value R$1,274 (−26%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDBR34 calculated?
We run General Dynamics Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$1,274, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. General Dynamics Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$1,719. Our model-based fair value is R$1,274, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with General Dynamics Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$786.84 to R$1,848) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of General Dynamics Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The market capitalisation of General Dynamics Corporation is R$516B (≈ $98.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of General Dynamics Corporation is 20.9. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of General Dynamics Corporation is 1.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
Earnings per share at General Dynamics Corporation are R$82.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The dividend yield of General Dynamics Corporation is 0.4% (payout 7.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The net margin of General Dynamics Corporation is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of General Dynamics Corporation is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of General Dynamics Corporation is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
The operating margin of General Dynamics Corporation is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
Revenue at General Dynamics Corporation is growing +10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34)?
Earnings per share at General Dynamics Corporation are growing +12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does General Dynamics Corporation (GDBR34) carry?
The net debt of General Dynamics Corporation is $5.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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