GDEV Inc (GDEV) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $230M
GDEV Inc
GDEV · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $42.20 to $35.82 (−15.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +12.4% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 166% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($23.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($23.07 to $51.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.41 – $89.38 · fair‑value band $23.07 – $51.20 · the $13.48 price screens below the $35.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
GDEV Inc (GDEV) currently trades at $13.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.82, implying the stock looks roughly 165.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GDEV Inc generated revenue of $404M at a net margin of 17.2%. Revenue declined 7.9% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $57.8M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $23.07 (bear case) to $51.20 (bull case); at $13.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 166%, GDEV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($70.97) versus Earnings-Based ($19.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GDEV Inc. develops and publishes online games in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers various games through mobile, social, and web-based platforms. It also provides franchise gaming in the role-playing game genre. The company was formerly known as Nexters Inc. and changed its name to GDEV Inc. in June 2023. GDEV Inc.
Full company description
GDEV Inc. develops and publishes online games in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers various games through mobile, social, and web-based platforms. It also provides franchise gaming in the role-playing game genre. The company was formerly known as Nexters Inc. and changed its name to GDEV Inc. in June 2023. GDEV Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Limassol, Cyprus.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GDEV Inc reported revenue of $404M in FY2025 versus $434M in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $69.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$202.60 | HK$192.74 | -5% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $207.27 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $237.04 | $60.45 | -74% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $57.07 | $21.20 | -63% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.04 | ¥14.68 | +5% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 240,500 KRW | 395,557 KRW | +64% |
| Kunlun Tech Co 300418 | ¥44.61 | ¥6.87 | -85% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥29.98 | ¥15.69 | -48% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 704.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -19% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.02 | ¥22.29 | +17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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