Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. $2.80, price $1.17, upside +139.1%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $1.06 – $455,813 · fair‑value band $2.68 – $2.90 · the $1.17 price screens below the $2.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the management and operation of urban amusement parks, water parks, and complementary recreational facilities in China.
Show more
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the management and operation of urban amusement parks, water parks, and complementary recreational facilities in China. Its parks offer a range of recreational experiences, including thrilling and family-friendly rides, water attractions, gourmet festivals, circus performances, and high-tech facilities. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Nanping, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares (GDHG) currently trades at $1.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.80, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $4.37 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $1.17 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $1.76, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $2.68 (bear) to $2.90 (bull), the price of $1.17 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $15.3M in FY2025 versus $38.5M in FY2021, a compound −20.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $68.4M · P/E ratio 0.0 · P/S ratio 6.03 · EPS (TTM) $188.94 · Net margin −56.2% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9% · Operating margin −95.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 139%, GDHG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.68Fair Value $2.80Bull $2.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($188.94 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
39.9% (2020) → −44.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 173 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+139.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−39.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−95.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−48.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDHG
Frequently asked questions
Is Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.80 versus a price of $1.17, about +139% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GDHG?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is $2.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.17.
What is the quality score of GDHG?
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.68, optimistic scenario $2.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.80, about +139% upside versus a price of $1.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.68, optimistic scenario $2.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares it is $2.80 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $1.17. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GDHG trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.17, fair value $2.80, a gap of about +139% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GDHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.80). For Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares the two are $1.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares at about $68.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.17; our models calculate a fair value of $2.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GDHG?
Our models span a range for Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $2.68, base $2.80, optimistic $2.90 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $1.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GDHG?
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.80 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GDHG from its 52-week high?
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares trades at $1.17, about 84% below its 52-week high of $7.54 and 10% above the low of $1.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $1.17, calculated fair value $2.80 (+139%), Quality Score 38/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GDHG calculated?
We run Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.17. Our model-based fair value is $2.80, about +139% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band ($2.68 to $2.90), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The market capitalisation of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is $68.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is 6.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Earnings per share at Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares are $188.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The net margin of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is −56.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
The operating margin of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is −95.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Revenue at Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is growing −48.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG)?
Earnings per share at Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares are growing −66.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG) generate?
The free cash flow of Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares is $19.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG) hold?
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $78.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares in the live analysis
One click puts Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Thin data
Sep 27, 2026