Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GEDZA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 1.3B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.45 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.54 TRY – 42.62 TRY · fair‑value band 4.47 TRY – 7.45 TRY · the 27.92 TRY price screens above the 5.96 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GEDZA) currently trades at 27.92 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.96 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 78.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 1.1B TRY at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 77.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.47 TRY (bear case) to 7.45 TRY (bull case); at 27.92 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -79%, GEDZA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (9.95 TRY) versus Multiples (3.11 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells corrugated polypropylene sheets in Türkiye. Its products are used in the glass packaging, white appliances, iron work, logistics, automotives, separators, stationery, multipurpose and archive boxes, recycling bins, vegetable/fruit and flower boxes, pet kennel, signboards and stands, beehive, buildings …
Full company description
Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells corrugated polypropylene sheets in Türkiye. Its products are used in the glass packaging, white appliances, iron work, logistics, automotives, separators, stationery, multipurpose and archive boxes, recycling bins, vegetable/fruit and flower boxes, pet kennel, signboards and stands, beehive, buildings and isolation, sapling shield, and greenhouse applications. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Gediz, Türkiye.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 1.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 126M TRY in FY2021, a compound +70.5%/yr. Reported net income was 16.4M TRY in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
GEDZA screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 678 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $520.74 | $226.27 | -57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
Compare Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GEDZA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GEDZA?
What is the quality score of GEDZA?
What is the revenue of Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GEDZA)?
What is the net profit margin of GEDZA?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Gediz Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.