Guess? Inc. (GES) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Guess? Inc. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $877M · ISIN US4016171054
At a glance
GIGuess? Inc.GES · US
Price from Aug 31, 2026$0.0120
Fair Value$0.0062
Upside−48.3%
Quality54/100
A solid business, but trading 94% above our fair value of $0.0062.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Guess? Inc. is $0.0062 per share against a price of $0.0120, so the fair value sits 48% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +2.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·6.67% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: LowRange $0.0062 to $0.0062
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.0053 to $0.0062 (+18.1%) since Jul 29, 2026. Share price +100.0% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0062). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0050 – $26.55 · the $0.0120 price screens above the $0.0062 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Guess? Inc. (GES) currently trades at $0.0120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0062, implying the stock looks roughly 93.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.0300 per share, and 14 of the 20 models we run sit above the $0.0120 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 6 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guess? Inc. generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −48%, GES screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0350 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence$0.0100$0.0100$0.010076
EPV$0.0100$0.0200$0.020074
Owner Earningsn/an/a$0.010073
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earningsn/an/a$0.010073
5Y Revenue Exit$0.0100$0.0200$0.030071
5Y EBITDA Exit$0.0100$0.0300$0.040073
5Y P/E Exitn/a$0.0100$0.020063
10Y Revenue Exit$0.0100$0.0100$0.020065
10Y EBITDA Exit$0.0100$0.0200$0.030067
10Y P/E Exitn/a$0.0100$0.010062
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.0100$0.0200$0.020067
Lynch FVn/an/a$0.010058
PEG = 1.0n/an/a$0.010054
EPV$0.0100$0.0200$0.020074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$0.0200$0.0400$0.050068
DDM Multi-Stage$0.0200$0.0300$0.040067
Multiples
P/E Multiple$0.0100$0.0200$0.020063
P/S Multiple$0.0100$0.0100$0.020055
P/B Multiple$0.0100$0.0100$0.020052
EV/EBIT$0.0300$0.0400$0.050066
EV/EBITDA$0.0300$0.0400$0.050067
EV/Revenue$0.0200$0.0300$0.040053
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)n/an/a$0.010051
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF$0.0100$0.0200$0.030071
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence$0.0100$0.0100$0.010076
ROIC Compounder$0.0100$0.0200$0.020072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$0.0100$0.0200$0.020068
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($0.0300) versus DCF Models ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio14.5as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio0.29P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$1.16price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5
Dividend yield6.7%payout 0.1%
Net margin2.0%FY2025
Return on equity17.2%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)6.0%avg 5y
Operating margin3.4%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$3.1BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+7.2%3y avg +4.9%
EPS growth (YoY)−40.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$35.6MFY2025
Net debt$1.2BFY2025 · ≈ 34.7 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality54/100
Of which business quality 52
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9
Profitability53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance83
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guess", Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing.
Full company description
Guess", Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company's clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel. It also grants licenses to design, manufacture, and distribute various products that complement its apparel lines, such as eyewear, watches, handbags, footwear, kids' and infants' apparel, fragrance, jewelry, and other fashion accessories, as well as to wholesale partners to operate and sell products through licensed retail stores. The company markets its products under the GUESS, GUESS", GUESS U.S.A., GUESS Jeans, GUESS" and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS, GUESS by MARCIANO, and Gc brand names. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and licensing distribution channels, as well as through retail websites. Guess", Inc. was founded in 1981 and is based in Bioggio, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guess? Inc. reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $60.4M in FY2025.
Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.0B
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+30.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+24.1%
Dividend yield6.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 3.1% vs 10Y −2.3%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2.9% (2020) → 5.8% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop233% (2021) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
Revenue+12.4%/yr
FY21$1.9B
FY22$2.6B
FY23$2.7B
FY24$2.8B
FY25$3.0B
Net income
FY21−$80.7M
FY22$171M
FY23$150M
FY24$198M
FY25$60.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+4.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share+4.1 %
of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution +2.2 %
EBIT margin+0.9 %
Tax rate+2.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−2.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 29
FUTURE36· sector 18
PAST69· sector 24
HEALTH52· sector 100
DIVIDEND100· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0062 versus the last price from Aug 31, 2026 of $0.0120, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GES?
Our model-based fair value for Guess? Inc. is $0.0062 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 31, 2026): $0.0120.
What is the quality score of GES?
Guess? Inc. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guess? Inc. (GES)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0062 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guess? Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0062, about −48% upside versus the last price from Aug 31, 2026 of $0.0120 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guess? Inc. (GES)?
Guess? Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GES?
The net profit margin of Guess? Inc. is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guess? Inc. pay a dividend?
Guess? Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guess? Inc. (GES)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guess? Inc. it is $0.0062 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0120. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guess? Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 13, 2026, GES trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0120, fair value $0.0062, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GES?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0120); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0062). For Guess? Inc. the two are $0.0058 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guess? Inc. worth?
The market values Guess? Inc. at about $877M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0120; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0062 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of GES?
Guess? Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Aug 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0062 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 6.1, P/B 1.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of GES?
The PEG ratio of Guess? Inc. is 6.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guess? Inc. (GES)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guess? Inc. (as of Aug 13, 2026): return on equity 17.2%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Guess? Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guess? Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 13, 2026: price $0.0120, calculated fair value $0.0062 (−48%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GES calculated?
We run Guess? Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0062, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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Guess? Inc.
GES · US