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Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. (GESAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 37.6B TRY

GE Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. GESAN · IS
Price82.00 TRY
Fair Value71.49 TRY
Upside-12.8%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range 51.20 TRY – 83.55 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 51.20 TRY (bear) to 83.55 TRY (bull), base 71.49 TRY. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

113.40 TRY 4.06 TRY Fair Value 71.49 TRY Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.06 TRY – 113.40 TRY · fair‑value band 51.20 TRY – 83.55 TRY · the 82.00 TRY price screens above the 71.49 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. (GESAN) currently trades at 82.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.49 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 22.2B TRY at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at 3.4B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 51.20 TRY (bear case) to 83.55 TRY (bull case); at 82.00 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -13%, GESAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 77.91 TRY 123.30 TRY 153.80 TRY 72
Growth-Adj P/E 62.00 TRY 88.57 TRY 115.15 TRY 68
P/E Multiple 29.46 TRY 39.28 TRY 49.10 TRY 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.35 TRY 93.13 TRY 130.70 TRY 54
Lynch FV 48.12 TRY 68.74 TRY 89.36 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 48.12 TRY 68.74 TRY 89.36 TRY 46
EPV 55.57 TRY 65.39 TRY 73.99 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 29.46 TRY 39.28 TRY 49.10 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 25.04 TRY 33.39 TRY 41.73 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 25.04 TRY 33.39 TRY 41.73 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 89.46 TRY 120.41 TRY 151.36 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 74.46 TRY 100.41 TRY 126.35 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 59.20 TRY 86.02 TRY 112.85 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.83 TRY 19.87 TRY 29.65 TRY 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 23.79 TRY 24.84 TRY 26.07 TRY 61
ROIC Compounder 77.91 TRY 123.30 TRY 153.80 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 62.00 TRY 88.57 TRY 115.15 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (88.57 TRY) versus Asset-Based (19.87 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 22.2B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.5%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow −2.7B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.3
More key figures
Operating margin 27.8%
EPS (TTM) 2.32 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -66.4%
Net debt 3.4B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. operates as an EPC company in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Enterprise, Europower, Peak PV, EP World, Euromek, and Peakesco segments.

Full company description

Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. operates as an EPC company in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Enterprise, Europower, Peak PV, EP World, Euromek, and Peakesco segments. It offers EPC services for HV and MV substations, electric distribution networks, transmission lines, thermal and hydroelectrical power plants, hydroelectric and wind power plants, geothermal and biomass power plants, combined cycle natural gas power plants, cogeneration, railways and industrial facility electrification, infrastructure and super structure projects, power factor correction, and automation and SCADA projects. The company also provides engineering services, such as project design and management, supervision, and testing and commissioning, as well as training services. In addition, it offers LV switch gears, LV-MV power factor correction devices and reactors, automation and SCADA equipment, data recorders, power protection and control equipment, LV panels, MV cells, concrete and metallic kiosks, compact and packaged substations, testing and measurement equipment, power and distribution transformers and accessories, LV-MV-HV measurement and protection transformers, MV-HV circuit breakers, disconnectors, gas insulated switch gears, UPS, voltage regulators, cables and cable accessories, MV-fuses, insulators, power transmission and distribution equipment, neutral earthing resistors, conductors, motor and drives, surge arresters, lightning and over-voltage protection equipment, cable trays and busbar systems, grounding equipment, steel and concrete poles, power generation systems and products, lighting equipment, electrical installation equipment, electrical products, transformer oils, railway catenary and electrification equipment, solar panels, inverters, solar energy mounting systems and structures, and battery systems; and health, safety, and environmental equipment. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 20.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +102.2%/yr. Reported net income was 903M TRY in FY2025, compounding +42.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
20.6B TRY
Latest YoY
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+69.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+87.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+78.1%
Revenue +102.2%/yr
FY21 1.2B TRY
FY22 4.2B TRY
FY23 15.1B TRY
FY24 19.9B TRY
FY25 20.6B TRY
Net income +42.3%/yr
FY21 220M TRY
FY22 642M TRY
FY23 992M TRY
FY24 1.8B TRY
FY25 903M TRY

GESAN screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GESAN

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 15 · sector 26
HEALTH 92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. (GESAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 71.49 TRY versus a price of 82.00 TRY, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GESAN?
Our model-based fair value for Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. is 71.49 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 82.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of GESAN?
Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. (GESAN)?
Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GESAN?
The net profit margin of Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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