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Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS TRY 71.49, price TRY 50.05, upside +42.8%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · TR · ISIN TREGESN00029

GE Some data Sep 22, 2026

Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS

GESAN · IS

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 71.49 TRY · Undervalued (+43%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +87.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
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Price vs Fair Value

113.40 TRY 4.06 TRY Fair Value 71.49 TRY Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.06 TRY – 113.40 TRY · fair‑value band 51.20 TRY – 83.55 TRY · the 50.05 TRY price screens below the 71.49 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 22, 2026.

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Company profile

Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. operates as an EPC company in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Enterprise, Europower, Peak PV, EP World, Euromek, and Peakesco segments.

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Girisim Elektrik Sanayi Taahhüt ve Ticaret A.S. operates as an EPC company in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Enterprise, Europower, Peak PV, EP World, Euromek, and Peakesco segments. It offers EPC services for HV and MV substations, electric distribution networks, transmission lines, thermal and hydroelectrical power plants, hydroelectric and wind power plants, geothermal and biomass power plants, combined cycle natural gas power plants, cogeneration, railways and industrial facility electrification, infrastructure and super structure projects, power factor correction, and automation and SCADA projects. The company also provides engineering services, such as project design and management, supervision, and testing and commissioning, as well as training services. In addition, it offers LV switch gears, LV-MV power factor correction devices and reactors, automation and SCADA equipment, data recorders, power protection and control equipment, LV panels, MV cells, concrete and metallic kiosks, compact and packaged substations, testing and measurement equipment, power and distribution transformers and accessories, LV-MV-HV measurement and protection transformers, MV-HV circuit breakers, disconnectors, gas insulated switch gears, UPS, voltage regulators, cables and cable accessories, MV-fuses, insulators, power transmission and distribution equipment, neutral earthing resistors, conductors, motor and drives, surge arresters, lightning and over-voltage protection equipment, cable trays and busbar systems, grounding equipment, steel and concrete poles, power generation systems and products, lighting equipment, electrical installation equipment, electrical products, transformer oils, railway catenary and electrification equipment, solar panels, inverters, solar energy mounting systems and structures, and battery systems; and health, safety, and environmental equipment. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN) currently trades at 50.05 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.49 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 89.91 TRY per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the 50.05 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 19.87 TRY, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 51.20 TRY (bear) to 83.55 TRY (bull), the price of 50.05 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS reported revenue of 20.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.2B TRY in FY2021, a compound +102.2%/yr. Reported net income was 903M TRY in FY2025, compounding +42.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 37.6B TRY (≈ $771M) · P/E ratio 21.6 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) 2.32 TRY · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8% · Operating margin 27.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 43%, GESAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 51.20 TRY Fair Value 71.49 TRY Bull 83.55 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.68 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 55.57 TRY 65.39 TRY 73.99 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 77.91 TRY 123.30 TRY 153.80 TRY 69
Residual Income 23.79 TRY 24.84 TRY 26.07 TRY 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.35 TRY 93.13 TRY 130.70 TRY 61
Lynch FV 48.12 TRY 68.74 TRY 89.36 TRY 59
PEG = 1.0 48.12 TRY 68.74 TRY 89.36 TRY 55
EPV 55.57 TRY 65.39 TRY 73.99 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 30.93 TRY 41.24 TRY 51.55 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 25.04 TRY 33.39 TRY 41.73 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 25.04 TRY 33.39 TRY 41.73 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 84.31 TRY 113.53 TRY 142.76 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 74.46 TRY 100.41 TRY 126.35 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 53.04 TRY 77.22 TRY 101.40 TRY 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.83 TRY 19.87 TRY 29.65 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 23.79 TRY 24.84 TRY 26.07 TRY 68
ROIC Compounder 77.91 TRY 123.30 TRY 153.80 TRY 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 62.94 TRY 89.91 TRY 116.88 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+87.9%
Revenue growth 7 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+78.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 15%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 818 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.76× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.69× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)90 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GESAN

Frequently asked questions

Is Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 71.49 TRY versus a price of 50.05 TRY, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GESAN?
Our model-based fair value for Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 71.49 TRY (as of Sep 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 50.05 TRY.
What is the quality score of GESAN?
Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 71.49 TRY (as of Sep 22, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 51.20 TRY, optimistic scenario 83.55 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 71.49 TRY, about +43% upside versus a price of 50.05 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 51.20 TRY, optimistic scenario 83.55 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 22, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS it is 71.49 TRY per share (as of Sep 22, 2026), against a price of 50.05 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 22, 2026, GESAN trades below its calculated fair value: price 50.05 TRY, fair value 71.49 TRY, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GESAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.05 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (71.49 TRY). For Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS the two are 21.44 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS at about 37.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 22, 2026). Per share that is 50.05 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 71.49 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GESAN?
Our models span a range for Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 51.20 TRY, base 71.49 TRY, optimistic 83.55 TRY per share (as of Sep 22, 2026, price 50.05 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GESAN?
Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.6 (as of Sep 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 71.49 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (as of Sep 22, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GESAN from its 52-week high?
Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS trades at 50.05 TRY, about 47% below its 52-week high of 93.70 TRY and 21% above the low of 41.48 TRY (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 71.49 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 22, 2026: price 50.05 TRY, calculated fair value 71.49 TRY (+43%), Quality Score 31/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GESAN calculated?
We run Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 71.49 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 50.05 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 71.49 TRY, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (51.20 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The market capitalisation of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 37.6B TRY (≈ $771M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Earnings per share at Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS are 2.32 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The net margin of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
The operating margin of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 27.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Revenue at Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is growing +31.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN)?
Earnings per share at Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS are growing −66.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is −2.7B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS (GESAN) carry?
The net debt of Girisim Elektrik Taahhut Ticaret & Sanayi AS is 3.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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