Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Guardforce AI Co Ltd $0.52, price $0.24, upside +120.5%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0208 – $158.40 · fair‑value band $0.3400 – $0.6460 · the $0.2351 price screens below the $0.5185 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments.
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Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments. The company offers cash-in-transit non-dedicated vehicle; cash-in transit dedicated vehicle; ATM management; cash processing; cash center operations; consolidate cash center operations; smart cash solutions; cheque center services; express cash; and coin processing services. It also provides AI agent solutions, robotics solutions, as well as smart retail solutions. In addition, the company is involved in developing web-based AI solutions to help with personalized trip planning; and selling and leasing robots. It serves its products to local commercial banks, chain retailers, coin manufacturing mints, and government authorities. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) currently trades at $0.2351, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5185, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.3400 (bear) to $0.6460 (bull), the price of $0.2351 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Guardforce AI Co Ltd reported revenue of $35.2M in FY2025 versus $34.7M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $9.7M · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2400 · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.4% · Operating margin −16.9% · Revenue (TTM) $36.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 121%, GFAI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.3400Fair Value $0.5185Bull$0.6460
Price $0.2351 · Upside +120.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.2/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.6% (2020) → −16.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (69 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 109 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guardforce AI Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFAI
Frequently asked questions
Is Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5185 versus a price of $0.2351, about +121% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GFAI?
Our model-based fair value for Guardforce AI Co Ltd is $0.5185 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2351.
What is the quality score of GFAI?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5185 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3400, optimistic scenario $0.6460. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guardforce AI Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5185, about +121% upside versus a price of $0.2351 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.3400, optimistic scenario $0.6460. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guardforce AI Co Ltd it is $0.5185 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.2351. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guardforce AI Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GFAI trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2351, fair value $0.5185, a gap of about +121% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GFAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2351); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5185). For Guardforce AI Co Ltd the two are $0.2834 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guardforce AI Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guardforce AI Co Ltd at about $9.7M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.2351; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5185 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GFAI?
Our models span a range for Guardforce AI Co Ltd: cautious scenario $0.3400, base $0.5185, optimistic $0.6460 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.2351). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guardforce AI Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −19.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GFAI from its 52-week high?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd trades at $0.2351, about 79% below its 52-week high of $1.14 and at the low of $0.2351 (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5185 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guardforce AI Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guardforce AI Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.2351, calculated fair value $0.5185 (+121%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GFAI calculated?
We run Guardforce AI Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5185, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Guardforce AI Co Ltd currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was $0.2351. Our model-based fair value is $0.5185, about +121% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guardforce AI Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3400 to $0.6460) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Guardforce AI Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The market capitalisation of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is $9.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Earnings per share at Guardforce AI Co Ltd are $−0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The net margin of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is −18.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is −19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is −25.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
The operating margin of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Revenue at Guardforce AI Co Ltd is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is −$1.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) hold?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, $20.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026