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Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $12.8M · ISIN KYG4236L1124

GA Guardforce AI Co Ltd logo Guardforce AI Co Ltd GFAI · US
Price$0.3800
Fair Value$0.5185
Upside+36.5%
Quality26/100
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Strengths

Trades 27% below our fair value of $0.5185

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -18.9% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.3 %/yr)
Loss-making · -18.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3400 – $0.6545 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +20.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 27% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.3400 to $0.6545) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$158.40 $0.0208 Fair Value $0.5185 Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0208 – $158.40 · fair‑value band $0.3400 – $0.6545 · the $0.3800 price screens below the $0.5185 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5185, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guardforce AI Co Ltd generated revenue of $35.2M at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3400 (bear case) to $0.6545 (bull case); at $0.3800, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 36%, GFAI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.5500 $0.7300 $1.09 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5500 $0.7300 $1.09 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.36 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-0.2400
Net margin -18.9% FY2025
Return on equity -16.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -25.4% avg 5y
Operating margin -16.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $35.2M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6% 3y avg +1.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$1.7M FY2025
Net cash $20.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments.

Full company description

Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments. The company offers cash-in-transit non-dedicated vehicle; cash-in transit dedicated vehicle; ATM management; cash processing; cash center operations; consolidate cash center operations; smart cash solutions; cheque center services; express cash; and coin processing services. It also provides AI agent solutions, robotics solutions, as well as smart retail solutions. In addition, the company is involved in developing web-based AI solutions to help with personalized trip planning; and selling and leasing robots. It serves its products to local commercial banks, chain retailers, coin manufacturing mints, and government authorities. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guardforce AI Co Ltd reported revenue of $35.2M in FY2025 versus $34.7M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 2/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$35.2M
Latest YoY
−3.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 $34.7M
FY22 $34.0M
FY23 $36.3M
FY24 $36.3M
FY25 $35.2M
Net income
FY21 −$5.5M
FY22 −$18.6M
FY23 −$29.6M
FY24 −$5.9M
FY25 −$6.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guardforce AI Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFAI

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE82 · sector 33
FUTURE18 · sector 35
PAST0 · sector 22
HEALTH100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

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Verisure plc VSURE €9.33 €12.40 +33%
Allegion plc ALLE $166.11 $127.80 -23%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 147.90 kr 186.34 +26%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.46 ¥31.47 +91%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $190.34 $116.42 -39%
ADT Inc ADT $7.44 $16.68 +124%
The Brink's Company BCO $113.12 $121.18 +7%
Brady Corporation BRC $93.25 $72.32 -22%
The GEO Group GEO $32.77 $25.50 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5185 versus a price of $0.3800, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GFAI?
Our model-based fair value for Guardforce AI Co Ltd is $0.5185 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3800.
What is the quality score of GFAI?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)?
Guardforce AI Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GFAI?
The net profit margin of Guardforce AI Co Ltd is about -18.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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