Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $12.8M · ISIN KYG4236L1124
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +20.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 27% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.3400 to $0.6545) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0208 – $158.40 · fair‑value band $0.3400 – $0.6545 · the $0.3800 price screens below the $0.5185 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5185, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guardforce AI Co Ltd generated revenue of $35.2M at a net margin of -18.9%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.3400 (bear case) to $0.6545 (bull case); at $0.3800, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 36%, GFAI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments.
Full company description
Guardforce AI Co., Limited engages in the provision of secured logistics services in the Asia Pacific. It operates through Secured Logistics and AI&Robotics Solution Business segments. The company offers cash-in-transit non-dedicated vehicle; cash-in transit dedicated vehicle; ATM management; cash processing; cash center operations; consolidate cash center operations; smart cash solutions; cheque center services; express cash; and coin processing services. It also provides AI agent solutions, robotics solutions, as well as smart retail solutions. In addition, the company is involved in developing web-based AI solutions to help with personalized trip planning; and selling and leasing robots. It serves its products to local commercial banks, chain retailers, coin manufacturing mints, and government authorities. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guardforce AI Co Ltd reported revenue of $35.2M in FY2025 versus $34.7M in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $190.34 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.44 | $16.68 | +124% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.12 | $121.18 | +7% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $93.25 | $72.32 | -22% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $32.77 | $25.50 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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