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Great Lakes Aviation Ltd (GLUX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $897

GL Great Lakes Aviation Ltd logo Great Lakes Aviation Ltd GLUX · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -18.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.1000 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.1000 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Great Lakes Aviation Ltd (GLUX) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Great Lakes Aviation Ltd generated revenue of $47.6M at a net margin of -18.2%. Revenue declined 40.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.8%. Net debt stands at $22.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 0%, GLUX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $47.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.8%
Net margin -18.2%
Return on equity -30.8%
Free cash flow −$3.6M FY2014
Operating margin -11.5%
More key figures
Net debt $22.8M FY2014

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Great Lakes Aviation, Ltd., a regional airline company, operates as an independent carrier and code share partner with United Air Lines, Inc. in the United States. The company offers scheduled air service to its hubs under the Great Lakes brand; and carries cargo on its scheduled flights.

Full company description

Great Lakes Aviation, Ltd., a regional airline company, operates as an independent carrier and code share partner with United Air Lines, Inc. in the United States. The company offers scheduled air service to its hubs under the Great Lakes brand; and carries cargo on its scheduled flights. As of March 20, 2015, it served 28 airports in 9 states with a fleet of 6 Embraer EMB-120 Brasilias and 28 Beechcraft 1900D regional airliners. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Cheyenne, Wyoming.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2010 – FY2014 · reported fiscal years

Great Lakes Aviation Ltd reported revenue of $59.2M in FY2014 versus $125M in FY2010, a compound −17.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.4M in FY2014.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2014)
$59.2M
Latest YoY
−49.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Revenue −17.1%/yr
FY10 $125M
FY11 $124M
FY12 $138M
FY13 $117M
FY14 $59.2M
Net income
FY10 $5.1M
FY11 $10.7M
FY12 $2.9M
FY13 −$443K
FY14 −$7.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Lakes Aviation Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLUX

Peer Group

Airlines · 59 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -41% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 43.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 50
FUTURE 0 · sector 47
PAST 0 · sector 48
HEALTH 60 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL $89.93 $115.82 +29%
United Airlines Holdings UAL $125.12 $175.62 +40%
Ryanair Holdings RYA €25.47 €41.26 +62%
Southwest Airlines Co LUV $44.98 $14.76 -67%
InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO ₹5,333 ₹3,073 -42%
Singapore Airlines Limited C6L 7.09 SGD 7.89 SGD +11%
Air China Limited 601111 ¥5.94 ¥7.16 +21%
China Southern Airlines Company 600029 ¥5.07 ¥1.28 -75%
China Eastern Airlines Corporation 600115 ¥3.57 ¥14.20 +298%
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0293 HK$14.80 HK$31.02 +110%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Great Lakes Aviation Ltd (GLUX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GLUX?
Our model-based fair value for Great Lakes Aviation Ltd is $0.0001 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of GLUX?
Great Lakes Aviation Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Great Lakes Aviation Ltd (GLUX)?
Great Lakes Aviation Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $47.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLUX?
The net profit margin of Great Lakes Aviation Ltd is about -18.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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