Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Genting Malaysia Bhd $10.81, price $4.50, upside +140.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.50 – $20.71 · fair‑value band $5.27 – $17.01 · the $4.50 price screens below the $10.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Genting Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure, tourism, and hospitality business in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Egypt, the United States, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Leisure & Hospitality; and Properties segments.
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Genting Malaysia Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure, tourism, and hospitality business in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Egypt, the United States, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Leisure & Hospitality; and Properties segments. It is involved in the integrated resort activities, including gaming, hotels, food and beverages, theme parks, and retail and entertainment attractions, as well as tours and travel related, and other supporting services; and investment, development, and management of properties. The company also engages in the owning and operation of casinos; development and sale of land and properties; letting of apartment units; other amusement and recreational activities; and provision of information technology and consultancy services. In addition, it provides investment, marketing, private debt securities issuance, training, administrative, show agency, condotel, golf resort, utilities, cable car and related support, creative and art, project and construction management, offshore financing and captive insurance, karaoke, payment and collection agency, loyalty programme, garbage collection and disposal, sewerage, investment trading, reinsurance, and resort management services. Further, it offers electricity supply, water, liquefied petroleum gas, and other services; owns and operates aircraft; operates and maintains roads and slopes; transportation, airline ticketing, and tour agency services; petrol retailing; provision of support services to leisure and hospitality industry; researches and develops software; invests in equities; and operates a video lottery facility and vessel. The company was formerly known as Resorts World Bhd. Genting Malaysia Berhad was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. As of December 1, 2025, Genting Malaysia Berhad operates as a subsidiary of Genting Berhad.
Stock analysis
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR (GMALY) currently trades at $4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.81, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $14.99 per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the $4.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.81, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.27 (bear) to $17.01 (bull), the price of $4.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR reported revenue of 11.3B MYR in FY2025 versus 4.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was 715M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.8B · P/E ratio 5.3 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.8500 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 6.4% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 140%, GMALY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.27Fair Value $10.81Bull $17.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5898 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.5% vs −5.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−34% → 21%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 108% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in MYR, Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.5% a year for the price and +6.8% for the forecasts.
Compare Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 67 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.6% · Above median
Return on assets3.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.97× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMALY
Frequently asked questions
Is Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.81 versus a price of $4.50, about +140% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GMALY?
Our model-based fair value for Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is $10.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.50.
What is the quality score of GMALY?
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.27, optimistic scenario $17.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.81, about +140% upside versus a price of $4.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.27, optimistic scenario $17.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.2B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR pay a dividend?
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +13.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GMALY use?
Our models discount Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR that is +13.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR grew +20.0 % a year. The price currently implies +13.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR (+13.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.66 %: that much free cash flow Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR it is $10.81 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GMALY trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.50, fair value $10.81, a gap of about +140% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GMALY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.81). For Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR the two are $6.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR worth?
The market values Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR at about $1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.50; our models calculate a fair value of $10.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GMALY?
Our models span a range for Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR: cautious scenario $5.27, base $10.81, optimistic $17.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GMALY?
Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.81 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.6, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
What is the PEG ratio of GMALY?
The PEG ratio of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 0.40 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.50, calculated fair value $10.81 (+140%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GMALY calculated?
We run Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.50. Our model-based fair value is $10.81, about +140% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($5.27 to $17.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) come from?
Earnings per share at Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR grew −13.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −5.7 %, tax rate −3.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The market capitalisation of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is $1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Earnings per share at Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR are $0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The dividend yield of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 1.6% (payout 8.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The net margin of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
The operating margin of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Revenue at Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY)?
Earnings per share at Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR are growing −79.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Genting Malaysia Bhd (GMALY) carry?
The net debt of Genting Malaysia Bhd ADR is 11.3B MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026