Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS TRY 8.96, price TRY 48.80, upside -81.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 8.96 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +89.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.7% net margin (FY2025)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(3/10)
!Narrow moat23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range 0.8922 TRY – 51.50 TRY · fair‑value band 8.12 TRY – 9.63 TRY · the 48.80 TRY price screens above the 8.96 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. operates in the retailing and wholesale business in Turkey.
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Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. operates in the retailing and wholesale business in Turkey. It operates an online store for food; red and white meat, fish, and aquaculture; milk and breakfast products; cleaning products, which include general cleaning, washing, washing dishes, and cleaning supplies; personal care; baby products, including diapers, detergents, foods, and toys; fruits and vegetables; non-food, and bakery products, as well as beverages, comprising tea, coffee, and drinks. The company is also involved in retailing of fast-moving consumer products. Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS) currently trades at 48.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.96 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 444.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 21.27 TRY per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the 48.80 TRY price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.10 TRY, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 8.12 TRY (bear) to 9.63 TRY (bull), the price of 48.80 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 5.2B TRY in FY2025 versus 316M TRY in FY2021, a compound +101.7%/yr. Reported net income was −139M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 14.6B TRY (≈ $300M) · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% · Free cash flow −310M TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −82%, GMTAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.12 TRYFair Value 8.96 TRYBull 9.63 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+89.1%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.6% (2020) → 8.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Food & Drug Retailing” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3819 stocks
Beats the sector median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.08× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA0.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMTAS
Frequently asked questions
Is Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.96 TRY versus a price of 48.80 TRY, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GMTAS?
Our model-based fair value for Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 8.96 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 48.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of GMTAS?
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.96 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.12 TRY, optimistic scenario 9.63 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.96 TRY, about −82% upside versus a price of 48.80 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.12 TRY, optimistic scenario 9.63 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 8.96 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 48.80 TRY. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, GMTAS trades above its calculated fair value: price 48.80 TRY, fair value 8.96 TRY, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GMTAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (48.80 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.96 TRY). For Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 39.84 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 14.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 48.80 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 8.96 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GMTAS?
Our models span a range for Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 8.12 TRY, base 8.96 TRY, optimistic 9.63 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 48.80 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is GMTAS from its 52-week high?
Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 48.80 TRY, about 11% below its 52-week high of 54.90 TRY and 424% above the low of 9.32 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.96 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value PGOLD, RRHI, KEEPR, Curexo Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 48.80 TRY, calculated fair value 8.96 TRY (−82%), Quality Score 45/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GMTAS calculated?
We run Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.96 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 48.80 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 8.96 TRY, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.63 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
The market capitalisation of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 14.6B TRY (≈ $300M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the dividend yield of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
The dividend yield of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
The net margin of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (GMTAS) generate?
The free cash flow of Gimat Magazacilik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −310M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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