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Guangzhou Automobile Group (GNZUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.9B

GA Guangzhou Automobile Group logo Guangzhou Automobile Group GNZUY · US
Price$2.83
Fair Value$4.53
Upside+60.0%
Quality35/100
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Evidence: Low Range $2.99 – $5.66

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.51 $2.83 Fair Value $4.53 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $2.83 – $4.51 · fair‑value band $2.99 – $5.66 · the $2.83 price screens below the $4.53 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Automobile Group (GNZUY) currently trades at $2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.53, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Automobile Group generated revenue of $96.9B at a net margin of -9.0%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.99 (bear case) to $5.66 (bull case); at $2.83, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 60%, GNZUY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $96.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin -9.0%
Return on equity -10.1%
Free cash flow −$24.0B FY2025
Operating margin -13.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.24
EPS growth (YoY) -80.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, manufactures, and sells vehicles and motorcycles, and parts and components in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Vehicles and Related Operations; and Others segments. The company produces and sells passenger vehicles comprising sedans, SUVs, and MPVs; commercial vehicles consisting of fuel-powered and new energy heavy-duty trucks, new energy light-duty trucks, new energy buses, and pickup trucks; automotive parts, such as engines, gearboxes, car seats, micro motors, shifters, power batteries, battery cells and electric drives and controllers, and interior and exterior decorations; and motorcycles, including sport bikes, scooters, and electric bicycles and motorcycles. It also offers logistics, second-hand vehicle, supporting, and mobility transportation services. In addition, the company provides automobile credit, insurance brokerage, financial investment, finance lease, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Automobile Group reported revenue of $96.5B in FY2025 versus $75.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.8B in FY2025.

Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 $75.7B
FY22 $110B
FY23 $130B
FY24 $108B
FY25 $96.5B
Net income
FY21 $7.3B
FY22 $8.1B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $824M
FY25 −$8.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Automobile Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GNZUY

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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General Motors Company GMCO34 R$104.20 R$16.45 -84%
Ford Motor Company FMC1 €12.56 €16.17 +29%
Ferrari N.V 2FE €295.15 €114.02 -61%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 237.56 MXN -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Automobile Group (GNZUY) undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.53 versus a price of $2.83, about +60% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of GNZUY?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Automobile Group is $4.53 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.83.
What is the quality score of GNZUY?
Guangzhou Automobile Group has a Quality Score of 35/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Automobile Group (GNZUY)?
Guangzhou Automobile Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $96.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GNZUY?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Automobile Group is about -9.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.