Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), (GOTL-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 7.0B SEK (≈ $730M) · ISIN SE0000105371
What is Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 120% above our fair value of kr 120.12.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from kr 60.06 to kr 120.12 (+100.0%) since Aug 25, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 142.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
45‑month range kr 15.64 – kr 288.00 · fair‑value band kr 97.50 – kr 142.74 · the kr 264.00 price screens above the kr 120.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), (GOTL-A) currently trades at kr 264.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 120.12, implying the stock looks roughly 119.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 198.76 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the kr 264.00 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 28.83, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), generated revenue of 3.8B SEK at a net margin of −0.2%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 269M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 97.50 (bear case) to kr 142.74 (bull case); at kr 264.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −55%, GOTL-A screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 198.76) versus Earnings-Based (kr 28.83). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a passenger shipping company in Sweden. The company owns and operates a fleet of vessels; develops and operates maritime passenger and cargo traffic; owns, runs, manages, and develops hotels and housing, as well as commercial and rental properties; and develops, markets, and …
Full company description
Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a passenger shipping company in Sweden. The company owns and operates a fleet of vessels; develops and operates maritime passenger and cargo traffic; owns, runs, manages, and develops hotels and housing, as well as commercial and rental properties; and develops, markets, and packages travel incentives. It also owns, designs, and develops passenger and cargo ships for charter and sale, as well as invests in new technology and fossil-free energy solutions for maritime transportation. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Visby, Sweden. Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ) operates as a subsidiary of Trojaborg AB.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ), reported revenue of 3.7B SEK in FY2025 versus 2.3B SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −87.3M SEK in FY2025.
GOTL-A screens 120% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 232 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥16.06 | ¥49.90 | +211% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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