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GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GreenPower Motor Company Inc stock $0.49, price $1.09, upside -55.0%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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GM
Thin data
Oct 31, 2026
Thin data
Oct 31, 2026
GreenPower Motor Company Inc
GP · USVery expensive, weak quality
Our calculation puts a fair price 55% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 41/100
Revenue last quarter 72% below a year ago.
Fair value $0.4900 · Strongly overvalued (−55.0%)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −25.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -24.3% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 4/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3220 – $871.50 · fair‑value band $0.3700 – $0.7400 · the $1.09 price screens above the $0.4900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 31, 2026.
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Company profile
GreenPower Motor Company Inc. manufactures and distributes electric commercial vehicles and transit, school, and charter buses in the United States and Canada. The company offers school bus, commercial goods, and commercial passenger line vehicles.
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It also commercial vehicles for delivery, public transit, schools, vanpools, micro-transit, shuttles, and other sectors. GreenPower Motor Company Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP) currently trades at $1.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4900, 55.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.3700 (bear) to $0.7400 (bull), the price of $1.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
GreenPower Motor Company Inc reported revenue of $16.4M in FY2026 versus $17.2M in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.5M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $3.8M Micro · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) $−3.45 · Net margin −33.4% · Return on equity −1,019% · Return on assets (EBIT) −28.5% · Operating margin −367% · Revenue (TTM) $15.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 4 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 92% below its 52-week high and 239% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −55%, GP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3700
Fair Value $0.4900
Bull $0.7400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)
$0.3700
$0.4900
$0.7400
54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.3700
$0.4900
$0.7400
54
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
41/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
67
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum
0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +108.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.0%
’14
’15
’16
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−58.6% (2021) → −9.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
GP screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Dividend yield by industry
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$31.16 | HK$57.21 | +84% | vs GP |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥6.67 | ¥9.74 | +46% | vs GP |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €40.54 | €49.77 | +23% | vs GP |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥17.76 | ¥20.84 | +17% | vs GP |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.77 | €18.76 | +12% | vs GP |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $101.91 | $112.10 | +10% | vs GP |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €31.78 | €32.85 | +3% | vs GP |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $11.76 | $8.65 | −26% | vs GP |
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $622.75 | $308.45 | −50% | vs GP |
| Deere & Company DE | $675.48 | $263.46 | −61% | vs GP |
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Frequently asked questions
Is GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4900 versus a price of $1.09, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GP?
Our model-based fair value for GreenPower Motor Company Inc is $0.4900 (as of Oct 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.09.
What is the quality score of GP?
GreenPower Motor Company Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4900 (as of Oct 31, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3700, optimistic scenario $0.7400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GreenPower Motor Company Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4900, about −55% upside versus a price of $1.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3700, optimistic scenario $0.7400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
GreenPower Motor Company Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 31, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GreenPower Motor Company Inc it is $0.4900 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026), against a price of $1.09. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GreenPower Motor Company Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, GP trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.09, fair value $0.4900, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4900). For GreenPower Motor Company Inc the two are $0.6000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GreenPower Motor Company Inc worth?
The market values GreenPower Motor Company Inc at about $3.8M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 31, 2026). Per share that is $1.09; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GP?
Our models span a range for GreenPower Motor Company Inc: cautious scenario $0.3700, base $0.4900, optimistic $0.7400 per share (as of Oct 31, 2026, price $1.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
Balance-sheet figures for GreenPower Motor Company Inc (as of Oct 31, 2026): debt of 3.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GP from its 52-week high?
GreenPower Motor Company Inc trades at $1.09, about 92% below its 52-week high of $13.21 and 239% above the low of $0.3220 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GreenPower Motor Company Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GreenPower Motor Company Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 31, 2026: price $1.09, calculated fair value $0.4900 (−55%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GP calculated?
We run GreenPower Motor Company Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GreenPower Motor Company Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $1.09. Our model-based fair value is $0.4900, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GreenPower Motor Company Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3700 to $0.7400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GreenPower Motor Company Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The market capitalisation of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is $3.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
Earnings per share at GreenPower Motor Company Inc are $−3.45. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The net margin of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is −33.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is −1,019% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is −28.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
The operating margin of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is −367% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP)?
Revenue at GreenPower Motor Company Inc is growing −71.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP) generate?
The free cash flow of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is −$6.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GreenPower Motor Company Inc (GP) carry?
The net debt of GreenPower Motor Company Inc is $19.8M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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