Grand Parade Investments Limited (GPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ZA · Market cap 811M ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +3.3% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from R1.83 (bear) to R2.25 (bull), base R1.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R1.57 – R3.55 · fair‑value band R1.83 – R2.25 · the R1.80 price screens below the R1.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Grand Parade Investments Limited (GPL) currently trades at R1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 8.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 332K ZAR. Revenue grew 26.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 120M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R1.83 (bear case) to R2.25 (bull case); at R1.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 9%, GPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R6.65) versus DCF Models (R0.9400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grand Parade Investments Limited is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in incubation, PIPE's, industry consolidation, recapitalizations, buyouts, and growth capital investments. It considers investments in seed and startup, middle market, mature, turnaround, and emerging growth stages.
Full company description
Grand Parade Investments Limited is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in incubation, PIPE's, industry consolidation, recapitalizations, buyouts, and growth capital investments. It considers investments in seed and startup, middle market, mature, turnaround, and emerging growth stages. The firm typically invests in leisure, tourism, and gaming sectors and also considers investments in property, retail, food, manufacturing, real estate and entertainment. It seeks to invest in Africa with a focus on South Africa and Western Cape. The firm primarily invests between R$10 million ($0.84 million) and R$1000 million ($84.98 million) in companies with enterprise value greater than R$300 million ($25.50 million). The firm prefers to take a board seat in its portfolio companies. It may enter into joint ventures and other similar alliances, whereby it forms partnerships with such entities, contributing not only capital, but also providing strategic managerial input. The firm prefers to take minority or majority stake in its portfolio companies. The firm seeks to take more than 20 per cent stake, however a smaller stake is also considered where there is the potential to increase such stake in the future. It seeks to make balance sheet investments. Grand Parade Investments Limited was founded in 1997 and is based in Cape Town, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grand Parade Investments Limited reported revenue of R292K in FY2025 versus R1.0M in FY2021, a compound −26.7%/yr. Reported net income was R61.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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