Greater Than AB (GREAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 154M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from kr 13.18 to kr 2.93 (−77.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +23.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 1.93 to kr 3.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 7.08 – kr 125.00 · fair‑value band kr 1.93 – kr 3.66 · the kr 10.50 price screens above the kr 2.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Greater Than AB (GREAT) currently trades at kr 10.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.93, implying the stock looks roughly 72.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 12.8M SEK. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -91.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 45.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.93 (bear case) to kr 3.66 (bull case); at kr 10.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -72%, GREAT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Greater Than AB (publ) operates as a driving data analytics company that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to convert GPS data into driver scores that predict crash probability and climate impact.
Full company description
Greater Than AB (publ) operates as a driving data analytics company that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to convert GPS data into driver scores that predict crash probability and climate impact. It offers crash probability dashboard, crash probability tool, crash probability hub, AI coach, analytics reports, climate impact dashboard, and ESG compliance package. The company serves insurance companies, underwriters, fleet solution providers, mobility providers, and other owners of GPS data to optimize driver risk management, achieve insurance profitability, manage sustainability and ESG reporting, and monetize GPS data. Greater Than AB (publ) was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greater Than AB reported revenue of kr 5.7M in FY2025 versus kr 16.7M in FY2021, a compound −23.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 57.2M in FY2025.
GREAT screens 72% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 708 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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