GRK Infra (GRK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GRK Infra €31.62, price €26.20, upside +20.7%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range €8.90 – €26.20 · fair‑value band €22.13 – €41.10 · the €26.20 price screens below the €31.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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GRK Infra Oyj provides infrastructure construction services in Finland, Sweden, and Estonia. The company's services include civil engineering, road construction, paving, electricity network construction, rail business, and environmental technology.
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GRK Infra Oyj provides infrastructure construction services in Finland, Sweden, and Estonia. The company's services include civil engineering, road construction, paving, electricity network construction, rail business, and environmental technology. It provides transport infrastructure; bridge construction work, such as waterway and railway bridges; area construction; concrete, steel and composite structures, foundations, industrial construction, bridge, tunnel and construction, and repair; excavation, shoring, and quarrying; systems and structures for railways; maintenance of tracks; and metro lines and trams, as well as designs, repairs, maintains, and builds roads, highways, tracks, and bridges. The company also offers track engineering, track electrification, and safety equipment; foundations to telecom tower structures; reception, processing, and utilization of waste materials and side streams; construction of sports facilities; production and sale of biochar and pellets; and transmission lines and substations, EPC deliveries, as well as wind, solar and battery energy storage systems. It serves state administration, municipalities, and cities, as well as the private sector. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Vantaa, Finland.
Stock analysis
GRK Infra (GRK) currently trades at €26.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.62, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €58.79 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the €26.20 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €8.39, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €22.13 (bear) to €41.10 (bull), the price of €26.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GRK Infra reported revenue of €872M in FY2025 versus €450M in FY2022, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was €43.0M in FY2025, compounding +83.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €1.1B · P/E ratio 23.2 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) €1.13 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 29.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 21%, GRK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €22.13Fair Value €31.62Bull €41.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5121 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+87.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+85.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 6%
2025 sits 131% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 71 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+21% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)30% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−36% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GRK Infra Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRK
Frequently asked questions
Is GRK Infra (GRK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.62 versus a price of €26.20, about +21% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GRK?
Our model-based fair value for GRK Infra is €31.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €26.20.
What is the quality score of GRK?
GRK Infra has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GRK Infra (GRK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €31.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €22.13, optimistic scenario €41.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GRK Infra stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €31.62, about +21% upside versus a price of €26.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €22.13, optimistic scenario €41.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GRK Infra (GRK)?
GRK Infra reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €810M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does GRK Infra pay a dividend?
GRK Infra currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into GRK Infra (GRK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GRK Infra would have to grow free cash flow by -10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +24.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRK use?
Our models discount GRK Infra at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GRK Infra that is -10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GRK Infra (GRK) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at GRK Infra grew +24.6 % a year. The price currently implies -10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GRK Infra (GRK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GRK Infra (-10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.29 %: that much free cash flow GRK Infra produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GRK Infra (GRK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GRK Infra it is €31.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €26.20. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GRK Infra stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GRK trades below its calculated fair value: price €26.20, fair value €31.62, a gap of about +21% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€26.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€31.62). For GRK Infra the two are €5.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GRK Infra worth?
The market values GRK Infra at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €26.20; our models calculate a fair value of €31.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRK?
Our models span a range for GRK Infra: cautious scenario €22.13, base €31.62, optimistic €41.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €26.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRK?
GRK Infra trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €31.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 15.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of GRK Infra (GRK)?
Balance-sheet figures for GRK Infra (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 29.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRK from its 52-week high?
GRK Infra trades at €26.20, at its 52-week high of €26.20 and 124% above the low of €11.67 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €31.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GRK Infra?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GRK Infra stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €26.20, calculated fair value €31.62 (+21%), Quality Score 69/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRK calculated?
We run GRK Infra through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €31.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GRK Infra currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €26.20. Our model-based fair value is €31.62, about +21% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GRK Infra right now?
Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€22.13 to €41.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GRK Infra
How large is the market capitalisation of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The market capitalisation of GRK Infra is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GRK Infra is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GRK Infra (GRK)?
Earnings per share at GRK Infra are €1.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The dividend yield of GRK Infra is 1.6% (payout 38.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The net margin of GRK Infra is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GRK Infra is 29.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GRK Infra (GRK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GRK Infra is 9.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GRK Infra (GRK)?
The operating margin of GRK Infra is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GRK Infra (GRK)?
Revenue at GRK Infra is growing −35.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GRK Infra (GRK)?
Earnings per share at GRK Infra are growing +7.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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