Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (GSFC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹63.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹230.05 to ₹186.40 (−19.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ₹143.97 (bear) to ₹231.02 (bull), base ₹186.40. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹80.61 – ₹297.53 · fair‑value band ₹143.97 – ₹231.02 · the ₹160.25 price screens below the ₹186.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited (GSFC) currently trades at ₹160.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹186.40, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited generated revenue of ₹109B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 37.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹1.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹143.97 (bear case) to ₹231.02 (bull case); at ₹160.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -17% fair-value upside, at 16%, GSFC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹253.84) versus Growth DCF (₹42.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited produces and sells fertilizers and chemicals in India. The company operates in two segments, Fertilizer Products and Industrial Products. It offers fertilizers, including neem urea, di-ammonium phosphate, boronated NPK, muriate of potash, ammonium phosphate sulphate, gypsum, ammonium sulphate, APS, and micro mix.
Full company description
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited produces and sells fertilizers and chemicals in India. The company operates in two segments, Fertilizer Products and Industrial Products. It offers fertilizers, including neem urea, di-ammonium phosphate, boronated NPK, muriate of potash, ammonium phosphate sulphate, gypsum, ammonium sulphate, APS, and micro mix. The company provides industrial products, such as caprolactam, nylon-6, anhydrous ammonia, cyclohexanone, sulphuric acid, technical grade urea, melamine, methyl ethyl ketoxime, hydroxylamine sulphate, cyclohexane, argon gas, and oleum, as well as methanol, nitric acid, ammonium sulphate, anone-anol mixture, melamine cyanurate, and potassium dihydrogen phosphate. In addition, the company offers water soluble fertilizers; sulphur based products; plant tissue culture products; micro nutrients; plant growth promoters; soil conditioners; organic products; and seeds. Further, it is involved in the provision of agro services; trading of agro input products; provision of port and logistics related services; and treatment and supply of waste water. The company was incorporated in 1962 and is based in Vadodara, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited reported revenue of ₹109B in FY2026 versus ₹90.8B in FY2022, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.7B in FY2026, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch GSFC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $76.22 | $27.81 | -64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$93.60 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | -23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $120.01 | $161.00 | +34% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 418.10 | kr 67.25 | -84% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.12 | +41% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | -17% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,089 | ₹1,129 | -46% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹570.50 | ₹387.06 | -32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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