Good Times Restaurants Inc (GTIM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $14.1M
Good Times Restaurants Inc
GTIM · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $2.13 to $1.65 (−22.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($1.24 to $2.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $1.24 (bear) to $2.29 (bull), base $1.65. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.13 – $5.64 · fair‑value band $1.24 – $2.29 · the $1.47 price screens below the $1.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Good Times Restaurants Inc (GTIM) currently trades at $1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Good Times Restaurants Inc generated revenue of $137M at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $39.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.24 (bear case) to $2.29 (bull case); at $1.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 12%, GTIM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2.66) versus Economic Profit ($0.2500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Good Times Restaurants Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the restaurant business in the United States. It owns, operates, and franchises Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard, a quick-service drive-through dining restaurant; and owns, operates, franchises, and licenses Bad Daddy's Burger Bar, a full-service upscale casual dining restaurant.
Full company description
Good Times Restaurants Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the restaurant business in the United States. It owns, operates, and franchises Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard, a quick-service drive-through dining restaurant; and owns, operates, franchises, and licenses Bad Daddy's Burger Bar, a full-service upscale casual dining restaurant. Good Times Restaurants Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Golden, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Good Times Restaurants Inc reported revenue of $142M in FY2025 versus $124M in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding −50.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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