Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, (GUBRF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 149B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (335.64 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 47.00 TRY – 617.50 TRY · fair‑value band 201.39 TRY – 335.64 TRY · the 446.25 TRY price screens above the 268.51 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, (GUBRF) currently trades at 446.25 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 268.51 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, generated revenue of 56.7B TRY at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 23.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.7%. Net debt stands at 5.6B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 201.39 TRY (bear case) to 335.64 TRY (bull case); at 446.25 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -40%, GUBRF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (614.30 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (0.0500 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chemical fertilizers in Turkey and internationally.
Full company description
Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chemical fertilizers in Turkey and internationally. The company offers solid chemical fertilizers; micro granular, crystal and powder form, liquid form, and organic and organomineral liquid fertilizers, as well as biostimulants, auxiliary products, and plant nutrition packages; slow-release fertilizers, such as phosphorus protectant and nitrogen inhibitor fertilizers; organomineral fertilizers; and organic and hobby agriculture fertilizers under the GÜBRETAS brand. It also produces and trades in fertilizer raw materials; and operates and develops gold mines. In addition, the company provides logistics, laboratory, and port services; and technical and general services to the oil, gas and petrochemical industries. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Agricultural Credit Cooperatives of Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gübre Fabrikalari Türk Anonim Sirketi, reported revenue of 52.5B TRL in FY2025 versus 10.8B TRL in FY2021, a compound +48.6%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3B TRL in FY2025, compounding +78.2%/yr from FY2021.
GUBRF screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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