Vietnam Rubber Group (GVR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · VN · Market cap 119T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (28,255 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9,596 VND – 45,750 VND · fair‑value band 16,953 VND – 28,255 VND · the 29,750 VND price screens above the 22,604 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Vietnam Rubber Group (GVR) currently trades at 29,750 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22,604 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vietnam Rubber Group generated revenue of 32.2T VND at a net margin of 19.8%. Revenue grew 55.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at 1.3T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16,953 VND (bear case) to 28,255 VND (bull case); at 29,750 VND, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -24%, GVR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (30,268 VND) versus Dividend Discount (8,891 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vietnam Rubber Group - Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planting, tending, exploiting, processing, and trading of rubber in Vietnam and internationally.
Full company description
Vietnam Rubber Group - Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planting, tending, exploiting, processing, and trading of rubber in Vietnam and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Rubber Latex Production and Trading; Production and Trading of Rubber Products; Wood Processing, Production, and Trading; Real Estate and Infrastructure Construction; Tourism, Restaurant, Hotel, and Related Services Business; Electricity Business; and Other Business Activities. The company produces, processes, and trades in natural rubber latex, rubber industrial products, and rubberwood products; invests in the construction, sale, and lease of real estate and industrial park infrastructure, as well as other real estate activities; and leases restaurants and hotels, as well as offers tourism and other related services. It also trades in commercial electricity; develops renewable energy sources, including solar, wind, and pumped storage hydropower; and provides consulting, construction, transportation, technical, agricultural, and other related services. In addition, the company engages in the exploitation and processing of forestry, industrial, and agricultural crops, as well as minerals; mixed farming; wholesale trading of fertilizers, pesticides, and other agricultural chemicals; import and export; construction of civil and irrigation works; and production of bricks and tiles. Further, it is involved in the research, training, and transfer of scientific and technological advances in the fields of agriculture and natural rubber; medical examination and treatment for workers; and journalism and printing. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vietnam Rubber Group reported revenue of 29.1T VND in FY2025 versus 26.2T VND in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.3T VND in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.
GVR screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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