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Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. $2.23, price $2.47, upside -9.7%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US57630J3041

GT Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc.

GWAV · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Our calculation puts a fair price 10% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +11.2 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Fair value $2.23 · Overvalued (−9.7%)
Quality 26/100
Loss-making · -27.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$306,900 $2.31 Fair Value $2.23 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.31 – $306,900 · fair‑value band $1.66 – $3.33 · the $2.47 price screens above the $2.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Greenwave Technology Solutions, Inc., through its subsidiary, Empire Services, Inc., operates metal recycling facilities in Virginia, North Carolina, and Ohio. It operates through three segments: Scrap Metal Recycling, Hauling, and Other.

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The company collects, classifies, and processes appliances, construction materials, end-of-life vehicles, boats, and industrial machinery. It also offers ferrous metal, including heavy melting steel, as well as plate, structural, and shredded scrap for recycling and production of finished steel.

In addition, the company processes nonferrous metals, such as aluminum, copper, stainless steel, nickel, brass, titanium, lead, alloys, and mixed metal products; and sells catalytic converters recovered from end-of-life vehicles to processors that extract nonferrous precious metals comprising platinum, palladium, and rhodium.

Further, it operates automotive shredders. It serves large corporations, industrial manufacturers, retail customers, and government organizations. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock (GWAV) currently trades at $2.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.23, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.8%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.66 (bear) to $3.33 (bull), the price of $2.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $46.7M in FY2025 versus $8.1M in FY2021, a compound +54.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.0M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−21.96 · Net margin −46.3% · Return on equity −56.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.7% · Operating margin −17.8% · Revenue (TTM) $60.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 86% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −10%, GWAV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.66 Fair Value $2.23 Bull $3.33
Price $2.47 · Upside -9.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $15.63 $20.95 $31.26 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.63 $20.95 $31.26 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 37
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 47
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 10
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+152.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16,660.1% (2020) → −42.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 154 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −9.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −39.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −27.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −17.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 45.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥13.18 ¥20.95 +59% vs GWAV
Waste Management, Inc WM $207.88 $228.67 +10% vs GWAV
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.16 $170.68 +10% vs GWAV
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14% vs GWAV
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.33 $34.27 −19% vs GWAV
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.50 €7.30 −30% vs GWAV
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.09 €20.32 −35% vs GWAV
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.75 $128.63 −41% vs GWAV
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.93 $155.54 −51% vs GWAV
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $83.78 $14.82 −82% vs GWAV

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Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock · Fair Value
$2.23 −10%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GWAV

Frequently asked questions

Is Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.23 versus a price of $2.47, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GWAV?
Our model-based fair value for Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is $2.23 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.47.
What is the quality score of GWAV?
Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.23 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.66, optimistic scenario $3.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.23, about −10% upside versus a price of $2.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.66, optimistic scenario $3.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $60.6M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock it is $2.23 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $2.47. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, GWAV trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.47, fair value $2.23, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GWAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.23). For Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock the two are $0.2400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock at about $2.0M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $2.47; our models calculate a fair value of $2.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GWAV?
Our models span a range for Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $1.66, base $2.23, optimistic $3.33 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $2.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −56.7%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GWAV from its 52-week high?
Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock trades at $2.47, about 86% below its 52-week high of $17.55 and 7% above the low of $2.31 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $2.47, calculated fair value $2.23 (−10%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GWAV calculated?
We run Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $2.47. Our model-based fair value is $2.23, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($1.66 to $3.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The market capitalisation of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is $2.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Earnings per share at Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock are $−21.96. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The net margin of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is −46.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is −56.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is −22.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
The operating margin of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is −17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Revenue at Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is growing +45.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV)?
Earnings per share at Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV) generate?
The free cash flow of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is −$8.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. (GWAV) carry?
The net debt of Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. Common Stock is $7.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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