Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd $25.75, price $19.26, upside +33.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.54 – $36.50 · fair‑value band $19.31 – $32.18 · the $19.26 price screens below the $25.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments.
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Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments. The company operates casino games of chance or games of other forms; provides hospitality and related services; and manufacture, sale and distribution of construction materials. It develops and operates operates three flagship destinations in Macau such as integrated destination resorts in Galaxy Macau; unique landmark entertainment and food street destination adjoining Broadway Macau; and StarWorld Hotel, a five-star luxury hotel on the Peninsula. In addition, the company engages in sale and distribution of concrete pipes; provision of management services; and manufacture, sale, distribution and laying of asphalt, road base and bituminous materials, bricks, concrete pipes, cement, and slag; and provision of road marking services; and ready-mixed concrete; as well as management of galaxy international convention center and galaxy arena. Further, it offers truck leasing; quality assurance; cross-border transportation service, hospitality, marketing and promotion services, and project management activities. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR (GXYYY) currently trades at $19.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.75, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $30.39 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $19.26 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.11, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $19.31 (bear) to $32.18 (bull), the price of $19.26 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR reported revenue of HK$29.5B in FY2025 versus HK$13.0B in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.7B in FY2025, compounding +68.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $16.9B · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 4.48 · EPS (TTM) $1.55 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 36.1% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 58% fair-value upside, at 34%, GXYYY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $19.31Fair Value $25.75Bull $32.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0378 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs 5.2%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 32%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.1% a year for the price and +16.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (61 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 67 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+54.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)21.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth18.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GXYYY
Frequently asked questions
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.75 versus a price of $19.26, about +34% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GXYYY?
Our model-based fair value for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is $25.75 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.26.
What is the quality score of GXYYY?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.75 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.31, optimistic scenario $32.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.75, about +34% upside versus a price of $19.26 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $19.31, optimistic scenario $32.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$49.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GXYYY use?
Our models discount Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR that is -7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR grew +18.1 % a year. The price currently implies -7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR (-7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.10 %: that much free cash flow Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR it is $25.75 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $19.26. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, GXYYY trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.26, fair value $25.75, a gap of about +34% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GXYYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.75). For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR the two are $6.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR at about $16.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $19.26; our models calculate a fair value of $25.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GXYYY?
Our models span a range for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $19.31, base $25.75, optimistic $32.18 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $19.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GXYYY?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.7, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 9.4.
What is the PEG ratio of GXYYY?
The PEG ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 1.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 13.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GXYYY from its 52-week high?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR trades at $19.26, about 30% below its 52-week high of $27.38 and 2% above the low of $18.82 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $19.26, calculated fair value $25.75 (+34%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GXYYY calculated?
We run Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $25.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $19.26. Our model-based fair value is $25.75, about +34% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR right now?
Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) come from?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR grew +2.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.7 %, EBIT margin +15.9 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The market capitalisation of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is $16.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 4.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR are $1.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The dividend yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 7.8% (payout 96.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The net margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 36.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 13.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
The operating margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Revenue at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR is growing +18.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR are growing +24.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (GXYYY) hold?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ADR holds more cash than debt, HK$12.3B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026