Grand City Properties S.A (GYC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · DE · Market cap €1.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +3.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€12.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€12.03 to €22.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.96 – €21.83 · fair‑value band €12.03 – €22.71 · the €9.77 price screens below the €16.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Grand City Properties S.A (GYC) currently trades at €9.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.04, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Grand City Properties S.A generated revenue of €604M at a net margin of 79.4%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at €4.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €12.03 (bear case) to €22.71 (bull case); at €9.77, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 64%, GYC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€87.53) versus Economic Profit (€2.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grand City Properties S.A. engages in the residential real estate business in Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It invests in, manages, and rents real estate properties in North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin; and metropolitan regions of Dresden, Leipzig, and Halle. The company also engages in financing activities.
Full company description
Grand City Properties S.A. engages in the residential real estate business in Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It invests in, manages, and rents real estate properties in North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin; and metropolitan regions of Dresden, Leipzig, and Halle. The company also engages in financing activities. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Grand City Properties S.A. is a subsidiary of Aroundtown SA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grand City Properties S.A reported revenue of €601M in FY2025 versus €375M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was €588M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 537 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
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| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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