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H2APEX Group (H2A) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €40.0M

HG H2APEX Group H2A · XETRA
Price€0.8260
Fair Value€0.6970
Upside-15.6%
Quality12/100
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Weak Growth
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.3116 – €1.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (12/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.3116 to €1.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€7.05 €0.7340 Fair Value €0.6970 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.7340 – €7.05 · fair‑value band €0.3116 – €1.20 · the €0.8260 price screens above the €0.6970 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

H2APEX Group (H2A) currently trades at €0.8260, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6970, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 12/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €11.1M. Revenue grew 70.4% year over year. Net debt stands at €33.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.3116 (bear case) to €1.20 (bull case); at €0.8260, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -16%, H2A screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €4.88 €8.17 €10.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage €4.88 €7.75 €8.79 61
NCAV (Graham) €0.2700 €0.3600 €0.5300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €4.88 €8.17 €10.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage €4.88 €7.75 €8.79 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.2700 €0.3600 €0.5300 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€7.75) versus Asset-Based (€0.3600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €11.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +70.4%
Return on equity -103%
Free cash flow −€47.9M FY2025
Operating margin -221%
EPS (TTM) €-0.7400
More key figures
Net debt €33.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 12/100

Of which business quality 15 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

H2APEX Group SCA develops, manufactures, and operates green hydrogen plants for the de-carbonization of industry and infrastructure in Germany and Luxembourg. It operates through Operations, Project Development, and Storage segments.

Full company description

H2APEX Group SCA develops, manufactures, and operates green hydrogen plants for the de-carbonization of industry and infrastructure in Germany and Luxembourg. It operates through Operations, Project Development, and Storage segments. The Operations segment includes production and selling of green hydrogen, as well as the derivatives electricity and heat generation. The Project Development segment comprises work related to project development and system integration for third-party hydrogen plants, as well as turnkey solutions for the supply of hydrogen are modular, tech-agnostic, and tailor-made. The Storage segment includes development and manufacturing of different hydrogen storage systems. It serves transportation and logistics, industry, engineering office, research, government, and automobile manufacturer sectors. H2APEX Group SCA was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Rostock, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

H2APEX Group reported revenue of €10.0M in FY2025 versus €1.3M in FY2021, a compound +67.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€33.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€10.0M
Latest YoY
−66.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.4%
Revenue +67.0%/yr
FY21 €1.3M
FY22 €3.8M
FY23 €15.3M
FY24 €29.6M
FY25 €10.0M
Net income
FY21 €87.1M
FY22 −€3.9M
FY23 −€24.7M
FY24 −€27.9M
FY25 −€33.8M

H2A screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "H2APEX Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/H2A

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 12 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on assets -25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 70% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.73× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.00× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 34 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is H2APEX Group (H2A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6970 versus a price of €0.8260, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of H2A?
Our model-based fair value for H2APEX Group is €0.6970 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.8260.
What is the quality score of H2A?
H2APEX Group has a Quality Score of 12/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of H2APEX Group (H2A)?
H2APEX Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €11.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of H2A?
The net profit margin of H2APEX Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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