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H2APEX Group SCA (H2A) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of H2APEX Group SCA stock €0.35, price €0.88, that is 60.0% below the price, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials DE · ISIN LU0472835155

HG H2APEX Group SCA logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

H2APEX Group SCA

H2A · XETRA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 60% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +65% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −26.2 %/yr in EUR)
Moderate debt
Fair value €0.3500 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 20/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€7.05 €0.7340 Fair Value €0.3500 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.7340 – €7.05 · fair‑value band €0.2600 – €0.5200 · the €0.8760 price screens above the €0.3500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

H2APEX Group SCA develops, manufactures, and operates green hydrogen plants for the de-carbonization of industry and infrastructure in Germany and Luxembourg. It operates through Operations, Project Development, and Storage segments.

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The Operations segment includes production and selling of green hydrogen, as well as the derivatives electricity and heat generation.

The Project Development segment comprises work related to project development and system integration for third-party hydrogen plants, as well as turnkey solutions for the supply of hydrogen are modular, tech-agnostic, and tailor-made.

The Storage segment includes development and manufacturing of different hydrogen storage systems. It serves transportation and logistics, industry, engineering office, research, government, and automobile manufacturer sectors.

H2APEX Group SCA was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Rostock, Germany.

Stock analysis

H2APEX Group SCA (H2A) currently trades at €0.8760, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3500, 60% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €0.2600 (bear) to €0.5200 (bull), the price of €0.8760 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.

H2APEX Group SCA reported revenue of €10.0M in FY2025 versus €1.3M in FY2021, a compound +67.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€33.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €43.9M Micro · P/S ratio 2.62 · EPS (TTM) €−0.7000 · Return on equity −277% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −235% · Revenue (TTM) €15.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +64.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −60%, H2A screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2600 Fair Value €0.3500 Bull €0.5200
Price €0.8760 · Downside -60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) €0.2600 €0.3500 €0.5200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.2600 €0.3500 €0.5200 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2018: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2018.
Revenue growth 1 year
−66.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.8% (2020) → −352.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

H2A screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 791 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −40.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 64.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.32× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.68× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)34 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vinci SA DG €111.60 €186.68 +67% vs H2A
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,018 $1,119 +10% vs H2A
EMCOR Group EME $608.45 $524.14 −14% vs H2A
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €87.00 €62.21 −28% vs H2A
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 273,500 KRW 159,702 KRW −42% vs H2A
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,118 ₹2,302 −44% vs H2A
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €365.60 €203.86 −44% vs H2A
APi Group APG $40.87 $19.20 −53% vs H2A
Ferrovial N.V FER $58.71 $23.06 −61% vs H2A
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $540.90 $162.41 −70% vs H2A

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H2APEX Group SCA: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "H2APEX Group SCA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/H2A

Frequently asked questions

Is H2APEX Group SCA (H2A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.3500 versus a price of €0.8760, about 60% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of H2A?
Our model-based fair value for H2APEX Group SCA is €0.3500 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.8760.
What is the quality score of H2A?
H2APEX Group SCA has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.3500 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2600, optimistic scenario €0.5200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the H2APEX Group SCA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.3500, about 60% lower versus a price of €0.8760 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2600, optimistic scenario €0.5200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
H2APEX Group SCA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €15.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For H2APEX Group SCA it is €0.3500 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €0.8760. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is H2APEX Group SCA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, H2A trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.8760, fair value €0.3500, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of H2A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.8760); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.3500). For H2APEX Group SCA the two are €0.5260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is H2APEX Group SCA worth?
The market values H2APEX Group SCA at about €43.9M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €0.8760; our models calculate a fair value of €0.3500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about H2A?
Our models span a range for H2APEX Group SCA: cautious scenario €0.2600, base €0.3500, optimistic €0.5200 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €0.8760). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
Balance-sheet figures for H2APEX Group SCA (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −276.9%, debt of 1.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is H2A from its 52-week high?
H2APEX Group SCA trades at €0.8760, about 64% below its 52-week high of €2.44 and 19% above the low of €0.7340 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.3500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to H2APEX Group SCA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is H2APEX Group SCA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €0.8760, calculated fair value €0.3500 (−60%), Quality Score 20/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of H2A calculated?
We run H2APEX Group SCA through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €0.3500 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. H2APEX Group SCA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €0.8760. Our model-based fair value is €0.3500, about 60% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with H2APEX Group SCA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.2600 to €0.5200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of H2APEX Group SCA

How large is the market capitalisation of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
The market capitalisation of H2APEX Group SCA is €43.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of H2APEX Group SCA is 2.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
Earnings per share at H2APEX Group SCA are €−0.7000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of H2APEX Group SCA is −277% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of H2APEX Group SCA is −18.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
The operating margin of H2APEX Group SCA is −235% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at H2APEX Group SCA (H2A)?
Revenue at H2APEX Group SCA is growing +64.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does H2APEX Group SCA (H2A) generate?
The free cash flow of H2APEX Group SCA is −€47.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does H2APEX Group SCA (H2A) carry?
The net debt of H2APEX Group SCA is €33.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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