PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk (HAJJ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 252B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (49.09 IDR to 112.65 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range 78.00 IDR – 525.00 IDR · fair‑value band 49.09 IDR – 112.65 IDR · the 106.00 IDR price screens above the 86.65 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk (HAJJ) currently trades at 106.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 86.65 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk generated revenue of 907B IDR at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 49.09 IDR (bear case) to 112.65 IDR (bull case); at 106.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -18%, HAJJ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (86.65 IDR) versus Asset-Based (53.02 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk operates as a travel bureau in Indonesia and internationally. The company provides hotel rooms, land arrangements, and airlines tickets. PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk was founded in 2016 and is based in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia. PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Madinah Iman Wisata.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk reported revenue of 945B IDR in FY2025 versus 318B IDR in FY2022, a compound +43.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding +34.5%/yr from FY2022.
HAJJ screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
Compare PT Arsy Buana Travelindo Tbk with another stock
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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