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HAKI Safety AB (HAKI-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 581M SEK (≈ $60.9M) · ISIN SE0000122673

What is HAKI Safety AB really worth?

HS HAKI Safety AB HAKI-B · ST
Pricekr 21.30
Fair Valuekr 17.93
Upside−15.8%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 19% above our fair value of kr 17.93.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100
Evidence: High Range kr 13.55 – kr 22.81

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 31.87 kr 14.94 Fair Value kr 17.93 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 14.94 – kr 31.87 · fair‑value band kr 13.55 – kr 22.81 · the kr 21.30 price screens above the kr 17.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HAKI Safety AB (HAKI-B) currently trades at kr 21.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 17.93, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 20.72 per share, and 6 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 21.30 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 2.95, and 16 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, HAKI Safety AB generated revenue of 1.2B SEK at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at 466M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 13.55 (bear case) to kr 22.81 (bull case); at kr 21.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −16%, HAKI-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.24 per share, which is 6.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings kr 29.22 kr 41.05 kr 61.79 75
Residual Income kr 17.65 kr 17.40 kr 15.38 75
FCF DCF kr 2.10 kr 6.16 kr 13.27 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 2.10 kr 6.16 kr 13.27 72
Owner Earnings kr 29.22 kr 41.05 kr 61.79 75
5Y Revenue Exit kr 3.78 kr 11.06 kr 21.81 66
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 22.26 kr 42.74 kr 70.21 72
5Y P/E Exit kr 3.43 kr 10.46 kr 19.00 65
10Y Revenue Exit kr 2.53 kr 7.85 kr 13.70 62
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 13.24 kr 26.23 kr 40.69 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 2.74 kr 7.50 kr 12.13 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 8.29 kr 11.56 kr 13.49 65
EPV kr 1.15 kr 2.95 kr 4.44 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 19.19 kr 25.59 kr 31.99 61
P/S Multiple kr 15.54 kr 20.72 kr 25.90 56
P/B Multiple kr 15.54 kr 20.72 kr 25.90 53
EV/EBIT kr 14.01 kr 22.69 kr 31.37 63
EV/EBITDA kr 45.97 kr 65.30 kr 84.64 65
EV/Revenue kr 6.55 kr 14.52 kr 22.48 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 12.26 kr 16.43 kr 24.52 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 2.53 kr 6.39 kr 12.62 72
Rev-Margin DCF kr 3.78 kr 11.43 kr 20.92 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 17.65 kr 17.40 kr 15.38 75
ROIC Compounder kr 1.15 kr 2.95 kr 4.44 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 13.55 kr 19.36 kr 25.17 66

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 20.72) versus Earnings-Based (kr 2.95). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.1 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 0.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 1.76 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1
Dividend yield 2.3% payout 28.4%
Net margin 2.9% FY2025
Return on equity 7.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.2B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7% 3y avg +0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −54.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 48.0M SEK FY2025
Net debt 466M SEK FY2025 · ≈ 9.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

HAKI Safety AB (publ) provides safety products and solutions for infrastructure, energy, industry, aviation, rail and construction, and civil engineering industries in Europe and North America.

Full company description

HAKI Safety AB (publ) provides safety products and solutions for infrastructure, energy, industry, aviation, rail and construction, and civil engineering industries in Europe and North America. The company offers work zone safety products, such as catchfans, barrier systems, access platforms, and stairs; scaffolding system products, including modular and frame scaffolding, weather protection, stair solutions, and bridge systems; and surveying instruments and equipment for land surveying and mapping. The company was formerly known as Midway Holding AB (publ) and changed its name to HAKI Safety AB (publ) in December 2023. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HAKI Safety AB reported revenue of 1.2B SEK in FY2025 versus 863M SEK in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 34.0M SEK in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B SEK
Latest YoY
+12.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−5.9% (−8.2 + 2.3)
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 863M SEK
FY22 1.2B SEK
FY23 1.2B SEK
FY24 1.1B SEK
FY25 1.2B SEK
Net income −12.5%/yr
FY21 58.1M SEK
FY22 71.0M SEK
FY23 62.0M SEK
FY24 41.0M SEK
FY25 34.0M SEK

HAKI-B screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HAKI Safety AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HAKI-B

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 250 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.77× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE12 · sector 0
FUTURE44 · sector 36
PAST30 · sector 21
HEALTH74 · sector 95
DIVIDEND47 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $490.58 $101.35 −79%
ATI Inc ATI $210.76 $35.74 −83%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $62.80 $59.33 −6%
Aurubis AG NDA €178.90 €223.43 +25%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.39 ¥3.39 −64%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $68.16 $13.01 −81%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥27.08 ¥8.34 −69%
Viohalco S.A VIO €16.46 €14.98 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $86.05 $52.40 −39%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥104.36 ¥44.23 −58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HAKI Safety AB (HAKI-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 17.93 versus a price of kr 21.30, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HAKI-B?
Our model-based fair value for HAKI Safety AB is kr 17.93 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 21.30.
What is the quality score of HAKI-B?
HAKI Safety AB has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HAKI Safety AB (HAKI-B)?
HAKI Safety AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HAKI-B?
The net profit margin of HAKI Safety AB is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HAKI Safety AB pay a dividend?
HAKI Safety AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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