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Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company (HARN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 1.2B THB

HE Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company HARN · BK
Price2.04 THB
Fair Value2.76 THB
Upside+35.3%
Quality70/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
5.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range 2.15 THB – 3.34 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.15 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.20 THB 1.60 THB Fair Value 2.76 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.60 THB – 2.20 THB · fair‑value band 2.15 THB – 3.34 THB · the 2.04 THB price screens below the 2.76 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company (HARN) currently trades at 2.04 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.76 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company generated revenue of 1.2B THB at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 248M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.15 THB (bear case) to 3.34 THB (bull case); at 2.04 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 35%, HARN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.79 THB 1.83 THB 1.76 THB 76
Growth DCF 3.90 THB 4.87 THB 6.01 THB 72
Gordon GGM 0.9300 THB 1.43 THB 1.91 THB 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.84 THB 4.91 THB 6.21 THB 38
Owner Earnings 2.32 THB 2.85 THB 3.51 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.70 THB 3.31 THB 4.03 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.93 THB 3.72 THB 4.58 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 3.14 THB 4.09 THB 5.02 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 3.13 THB 3.74 THB 4.43 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.29 THB 3.99 THB 4.80 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 3.41 THB 4.22 THB 5.09 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.9800 THB 2.25 THB 2.89 THB 54
PEG = 1.0 0.3800 THB 0.5400 THB 0.7100 THB 46
EPV 1.53 THB 1.64 THB 1.73 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.9300 THB 1.43 THB 1.91 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.9300 THB 1.30 THB 1.65 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.15 THB 2.87 THB 3.59 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.83 THB 2.44 THB 3.05 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.83 THB 2.44 THB 3.05 THB 55
EV/EBIT 2.54 THB 3.13 THB 3.73 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 2.50 THB 3.08 THB 3.67 THB 54
EV/Revenue 1.95 THB 2.47 THB 2.99 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.19 THB 1.59 THB 2.38 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.90 THB 4.87 THB 6.01 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 2.70 THB 3.37 THB 4.11 THB 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.79 THB 1.83 THB 1.76 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 1.53 THB 1.64 THB 1.73 THB 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.63 THB 2.32 THB 3.02 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.74 THB) versus Dividend Discount (1.30 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow 205M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 12.4
More key figures
Operating margin 12.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.1700 THB
Dividend yield 5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +108%
Net cash 248M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, wholesales, retails, repairs, rents, leases, and installs fire protection system and suppression products in Thailand and internationally.

Full company description

Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, wholesales, retails, repairs, rents, leases, and installs fire protection system and suppression products in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Fire Protection Products and Project; Sanitary and Air-Conditioning System; Refrigeration System; Digital Printing System; Building-IoT Solutions; and Products of Medical 3D Printing Systems. It offers fire protection and safety solutions, including sprinklers, fire hose cabinets, floor control valves, pump rooms, and fire extinguishers; air-conditioning and sanitary solutions, such as chillers, cooling towers, PICVs, air handling and fan coil units, and variable refrigerant flows; and refrigeration solutions comprising compressors, condensers, evaporators, and expansion valve/devices. The company also provides digital printing solutions and products, which include inkjet, thermal transfer over, thermal inkjet, and desktop thermal transfer printers, laser coders, print and apply labelers, high resolution inkjets, basic equipment, and digital printing machine, as well as coding inspection and after-sales services; and 3D printers, software packages, scanners, and printing services for medical sector. In addition, it engages in the trading, repairing, renting, and selling of printing equipment; provision of smart building business solutions; wholesale of pharmaceutical and medical goods; and businesses related to carbon dioxide, carbon compounds and reducing carbon dioxide emissions or other greenhouse gases. The company was formerly known as Fire Victor Public Company Limited and changed its name to Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company Limited in November 2016. Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company reported revenue of 1.2B THB in FY2025 versus 1.0B THB in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 83.9M THB in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B THB
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 1.0B THB
FY22 1.2B THB
FY23 1.3B THB
FY24 1.2B THB
FY25 1.2B THB
Net income +3.8%/yr
FY21 72.3M THB
FY22 88.8M THB
FY23 114M THB
FY24 87.6M THB
FY25 83.9M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.5 pp

of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.0 pp

EBIT margin −0.9 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HARN

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 80 · sector 19
FUTURE 55 · sector 39
PAST 28 · sector 20
HEALTH 0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company (HARN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.76 THB versus a price of 2.04 THB, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HARN?
Our model-based fair value for Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company is 2.76 THB (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.04 THB.
What is the quality score of HARN?
Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company (HARN)?
Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HARN?
The net profit margin of Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company pay a dividend?
Harn Engineering Solutions Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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