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Habco Trans Maritima (HATM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Habco Trans Maritima IDR 177, price IDR 545, upside -67.4%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · ID · ISIN ID1000169402

HT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Habco Trans Maritima

HATM · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 177.48 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 31/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +37.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

650.00 IDR 155.57 IDR Fair Value 177.48 IDR Jul 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range 155.57 IDR – 650.00 IDR · fair‑value band 132.41 IDR – 222.54 IDR · the 545.00 IDR price screens above the 177.48 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Habco Trans Maritima Tbk owns and operates bulk carriers. The company operates through Handy Size and Larger than Handy Size segments. It provides barges, transshipment, and bulk carrier services.

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PT Habco Trans Maritima Tbk owns and operates bulk carriers. The company operates through Handy Size and Larger than Handy Size segments. It provides barges, transshipment, and bulk carrier services. It also transports goods using sea vessels designed for a particular type of cargo such as transportation of hazardous goods, hazardous and toxic waste, fuel oil, crude oil, refined products, LPG, LNG and CNG, and fish and other commodities, as well as engages in the leasing sea transportation. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Pekanbaru, Indonesia. PT Habco Trans Maritima Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Habco Primatama.

Stock analysis

Habco Trans Maritima (HATM) currently trades at 545.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 177.48 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 207.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 500.96 IDR per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 545.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 92.99 IDR, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 132.41 IDR (bear) to 222.54 IDR (bull), the price of 545.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Habco Trans Maritima reported revenue of 965B IDR in FY2025 versus 253B IDR in FY2021, a compound +39.8%/yr. Reported net income was 97.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.4T IDR (≈ $243M) · P/E ratio 91.0 · P/S ratio 9.16 · EPS (TTM) 5.99 IDR · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6% · Operating margin 4.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at −67%, HATM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 132.41 IDR Fair Value 177.48 IDR Bull 222.54 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.40 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 130.97 IDR 129.75 IDR 115.68 IDR 76
EPV 83.37 IDR 92.99 IDR 100.80 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 83.37 IDR 92.99 IDR 100.80 IDR 72
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 76.10 IDR 530.69 IDR 744.75 IDR 63
Lynch FV 266.73 IDR 381.05 IDR 495.36 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 266.73 IDR 381.05 IDR 495.36 IDR 57
EPV 83.37 IDR 92.99 IDR 100.80 IDR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 176.26 IDR 235.01 IDR 293.76 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 142.68 IDR 190.24 IDR 237.81 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 142.68 IDR 190.24 IDR 237.81 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 162.22 IDR 215.23 IDR 268.25 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 255.62 IDR 339.77 IDR 423.92 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 116.69 IDR 165.34 IDR 213.99 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 92.38 IDR 123.78 IDR 184.75 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 130.97 IDR 129.75 IDR 115.68 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 83.37 IDR 92.99 IDR 100.80 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 350.67 IDR 500.96 IDR 651.25 IDR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 11%

HATM screens 207% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 91.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.56× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.34× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 23.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,807 ₹1,041 −42%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.36 ¥40.37 +147%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €137.80 €88.00 −36%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
Evergreen Marine Corporation 2603 243.00 TWD 582.03 TWD +140%
HMM Co 011200 20,800 KRW 33,795 KRW +62%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.22 HK$65.24 +35%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
MISC Berhad 3816 7.77 MYR 6.31 MYR −19%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.69 ¥15.59 +61%

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Habco Trans Maritima · Fair Value
177.48 IDR −207%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Habco Trans Maritima Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HATM

Frequently asked questions

Is Habco Trans Maritima (HATM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 177.48 IDR versus a price of 545.00 IDR, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HATM?
Our model-based fair value for Habco Trans Maritima is 177.48 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 545.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of HATM?
Habco Trans Maritima has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 177.48 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 132.41 IDR, optimistic scenario 222.54 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Habco Trans Maritima stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 177.48 IDR, about −67% upside versus a price of 545.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 132.41 IDR, optimistic scenario 222.54 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Habco Trans Maritima reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 948B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Habco Trans Maritima it is 177.48 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 545.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Habco Trans Maritima stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HATM trades above its calculated fair value: price 545.00 IDR, fair value 177.48 IDR, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HATM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (545.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (177.48 IDR). For Habco Trans Maritima the two are 367.52 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Habco Trans Maritima worth?
The market values Habco Trans Maritima at about 4.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 545.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 177.48 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HATM?
Our models span a range for Habco Trans Maritima: cautious scenario 132.41 IDR, base 177.48 IDR, optimistic 222.54 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 545.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HATM?
Habco Trans Maritima trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 91.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 177.48 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 23.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Habco Trans Maritima (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HATM from its 52-week high?
Habco Trans Maritima trades at 545.00 IDR, about 16% below its 52-week high of 650.00 IDR and 130% above the low of 236.58 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 177.48 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Habco Trans Maritima?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Habco Trans Maritima stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 545.00 IDR, calculated fair value 177.48 IDR (−67%), Quality Score 31/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HATM calculated?
We run Habco Trans Maritima through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 177.48 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Habco Trans Maritima itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 545.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 177.48 IDR, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Habco Trans Maritima right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (222.54 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Habco Trans Maritima

How large is the market capitalisation of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The market capitalisation of Habco Trans Maritima is 4.4T IDR (≈ $243M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Habco Trans Maritima is 9.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Earnings per share at Habco Trans Maritima are 5.99 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 91.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The net margin of Habco Trans Maritima is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Habco Trans Maritima is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Habco Trans Maritima is 15.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
The operating margin of Habco Trans Maritima is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Revenue at Habco Trans Maritima is growing −7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Habco Trans Maritima (HATM)?
Earnings per share at Habco Trans Maritima are growing −89.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Habco Trans Maritima (HATM) generate?
The free cash flow of Habco Trans Maritima is −229B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Habco Trans Maritima (HATM) carry?
The net debt of Habco Trans Maritima is 28.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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