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HBT Financial, Inc (HBT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.1B

Price$31.47
Fair Value$27.52
Upside-12.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $20.64 – $34.40

Analysis

HBT Financial, Inc (HBT) currently trades at $31.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.52 — implying the stock looks roughly 12.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

HBT Financial, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Heartland Bank and Trust Company that provides financial products and services to consumers, businesses, and municipal entities in Illinois and Eastern Iowa. The company offers deposit account services, such as noninterest-bearing demand deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, HSA, and IRA accounts. It also provides lending products, including non-owner occupied regulatory commercial real estate (CRE), construction and land development and multi-family; commercial and industrial and owner-occupied CRE; agricultural and farmland; one-to-four family residential loans; municipal, consumer, and other loans; residential mortgage origination and servicing; and traditional trust and investment services. In addition, the company offers digital banking services comprising online banking, mobile banking, digital payments, and personal financial management too…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.