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HDIL (HDIL) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Market cap ₹825M

H HDIL HDIL · NSE
Price₹1.74
Fair Value₹1.91
Upside+9.8%
Quality39/100
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Evidence: Medium Range ₹1.70 – ₹2.09

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −9.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹3.35 ₹1.73 Fair Value ₹1.91 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹1.73 – ₹3.35 · fair‑value band ₹1.70 – ₹2.09 · the ₹1.74 price screens below the ₹1.91 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

HDIL (HDIL) currently trades at ₹1.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1.91 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HDIL generated revenue of ₹165M at a net margin of -5.4%. Revenue declined 13.5% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹24.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹165M
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.5%
Net margin -5.4%
Free cash flow −₹4.1M FY2025
Operating margin -324%
EPS (TTM) ₹-0.0200
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -67.9%
Net debt ₹24.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HDIL reported revenue of ₹340M in FY2025 versus ₹8.5M in FY2021, a compound +151.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹113K in FY2025.

Revenue +151.1%/yr
FY21 ₹8.5M
FY22 ₹21.5M
FY23 ₹13.1M
FY24 ₹16.1M
FY25 ₹340M
Net income
FY21 −₹122M
FY22 −₹123M
FY23 −₹198M
FY24 −₹103M
FY25 −₹113K

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Similar stocks

6 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mitsubishi Estate Co MITEY $23.69 $13.49 -43%
Mitsui Fudosan Co MTSFF $9.20 $13.56 +47%
Henderson Land Development Company HLDVF $3.70 $2.53 -32%
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 129.50 CHF 40.79 -69%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 65.00 THB 105.00 THB +62%
SM Prime Holdings SPHXF $0.2801 $0.6700 +139%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HDIL (HDIL) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1.91 versus a price of ₹1.74 — about +10% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HDIL?
Our model-based fair value for HDIL is ₹1.91 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1.74.
What is the quality score of HDIL?
HDIL has a Quality Score of 39/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of HDIL (HDIL)?
HDIL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹165M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HDIL?
The net profit margin of HDIL is about -5.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.