SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. $17.48, price $11.31, upside +54.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range $10.68 – $29.39 · fair‑value band $12.24 – $22.73 · the $11.31 price screens below the $17.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants.
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Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services; and sells hot pot condiment products and food under the Haidilao brand and secondary brands to local guests and retailers. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares (HDL) currently trades at $11.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.48, implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $27.63 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $11.31 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.44, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $12.24 (bear) to $22.73 (bull), the price of $11.31 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares reported revenue of $842M in FY2025 versus $312M in FY2021, a compound +28.1%/yr. Reported net income was $36.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $687M · P/E ratio 22.6 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) $0.5000 · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.1% · Operating margin 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 55%, HDL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.24Fair Value $17.48Bull $22.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3781 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.0% a year for the price and +8.0% for the forecasts.
Compare SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 207 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+55.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.4% · Above median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HDL
Frequently asked questions
Is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.48 versus a price of $11.31, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HDL?
Our model-based fair value for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is $17.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.31.
What is the quality score of HDL?
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.24, optimistic scenario $22.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.48, about +55% upside versus a price of $11.31 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.24, optimistic scenario $22.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $869M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares would have to grow free cash flow by -9.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +30.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HDL use?
Our models discount SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares that is -9.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares grew +30.6 % a year. The price currently implies -9.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares (-9.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.93 %: that much free cash flow SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares it is $17.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.31. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HDL trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.31, fair value $17.48, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HDL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.48). For SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares the two are $6.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares worth?
The market values SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares at about $687M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.31; our models calculate a fair value of $17.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HDL?
Our models span a range for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares: cautious scenario $12.24, base $17.48, optimistic $22.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HDL?
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Balance-sheet figures for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HDL from its 52-week high?
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares trades at $11.31, about 38% below its 52-week high of $18.35 and 6% above the low of $10.68 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.31, calculated fair value $17.48 (+55%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HDL calculated?
We run SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $11.31. Our model-based fair value is $17.48, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($12.24 to $22.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The market capitalisation of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is $687M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is 0.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Earnings per share at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares are $0.5000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The net margin of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is 4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is 18.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
The operating margin of SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Revenue at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL)?
Earnings per share at SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. (HDL) hold?
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. American Depositary Shares holds more cash than debt, $46.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 24, 2026