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Heba Fastighets AB (HEBA-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 3.7B SEK (≈ $390M) · ISIN SE0017911480

What is Heba Fastighets AB really worth?

HF Heba Fastighets AB HEBA-B · ST
Pricekr 25.60
Fair Valuekr 28.18
Upside+10.1%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 9% below our fair value of kr 28.18.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 59.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Weak on future: 19 out of 100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100

For context

·2.15% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 21.13 – kr 28.34

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price +4.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 75.20 kr 21.19 Fair Value kr 28.18 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 21.19 – kr 75.20 · fair‑value band kr 21.13 – kr 28.34 · the kr 25.60 price screens below the kr 28.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Heba Fastighets AB (HEBA-B) currently trades at kr 25.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 28.18, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of kr 33.69 per share, and 5 of the 8 models we run sit above the kr 25.60 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at kr 3.72, and 3 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Heba Fastighets AB generated revenue of 611M SEK at a net margin of 56.2%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 6.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 21.13 (bear case) to kr 28.34 (bull case); at kr 25.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 10%, HEBA-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.22 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 5.67 77
Residual Income kr 33.85 kr 33.69 kr 30.76 76
Growth DCF kr 1.75 75
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 5.67 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 12.55 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 11.48 kr 35.06 72
10Y Revenue Exit kr 8.79 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 3.72 kr 25.85 65
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 21.13 kr 28.18 kr 35.22 58
P/B Multiple kr 26.34 kr 35.12 kr 43.90 55
EV/EBIT kr 11.36 kr 27.01 kr 42.65 62
EV/EBITDA kr 1.13 kr 13.36 kr 25.59 58
EV/Revenue kr 3.88 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 22.71 kr 30.44 kr 45.43 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 1.75 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 10.78 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 33.85 kr 33.69 kr 30.76 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (kr 33.69) versus DCF Models (kr 3.72). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.1 as of Jun 8, 2026
P/S ratio 5.28 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 2.18 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 25.2%
Net margin 47.7% FY2025
Return on equity 5.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 64.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 611M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7% 3y avg +5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +116%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 217M SEK FY2025
Net debt 6.6B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 30.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Heba Fastighets AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Sweden. It also develops, owns, manages, and leases youth housing, rental housing, nursing homes, and community properties in the Stockholm region and Mälardalen Valley. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Heba Fastighets AB reported revenue of 605M SEK in FY2025 versus 450M SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 289M SEK in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
605M SEK
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−13.7% (−15.8 + 2.1)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 450M SEK
FY22 510M SEK
FY23 574M SEK
FY24 562M SEK
FY25 605M SEK
Net income −33.5%/yr
FY21 1.5B SEK
FY22 −136M SEK
FY23 −845M SEK
FY24 98.7M SEK
FY25 289M SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −8.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.3 %

of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %

EBIT margin +0.6 %
Tax rate −0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −15.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heba Fastighets AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HEBA-B

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 523 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.79× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 6.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 21.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE47 · sector 30
FUTURE19 · sector 11
PAST23 · sector 17
HEALTH61 · sector 84
DIVIDEND43 · sector 63

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $148.74 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €27.47 €25.46 −7%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heba Fastighets AB (HEBA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 28.18 versus a price of kr 25.60, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HEBA-B?
Our model-based fair value for Heba Fastighets AB is kr 28.18 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 25.60.
What is the quality score of HEBA-B?
Heba Fastighets AB has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Heba Fastighets AB (HEBA-B)?
Heba Fastighets AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 611M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HEBA-B?
The net profit margin of Heba Fastighets AB is about 56.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 56.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Heba Fastighets AB pay a dividend?
Heba Fastighets AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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