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Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc $0.01, price $0.02, upside -55.8%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · US

RO Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc

HERF · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.0106 · Strongly overvalued (−55.8%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −16.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.7% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.2000 $0.0020 Fair Value $0.0106 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0020 – $0.2000 · fair‑value band $0.0098 – $0.0114 · the $0.0240 price screens above the $0.0106 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc. through its subsidiaries, Red Oak Farms, Inc. and My Favorite Jerky, LLC markets branded fresh beef and processed beef products. Its products are distributed to retail supermarkets, and food service and direct sales markets located throughout the United States.

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Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc. through its subsidiaries, Red Oak Farms, Inc. and My Favorite Jerky, LLC markets branded fresh beef and processed beef products. Its products are distributed to retail supermarkets, and food service and direct sales markets located throughout the United States. The company, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Midland Cattle Company, Inc., buys and sells feeder cattle in the wholesale market. Its sales primarily include fresh-boxed beef in traditional primals, such as short loins, ribs, chucks, rounds and frozen-boxed primals. It is also planning to acquire and process products, along with its beef, to produce convenience meals, including its Premium Beef precooked products, frozen ground chuck patties, additional precooked offerings, beef jerky, and sticks.

Stock analysis

Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) currently trades at $0.0240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0106, 55.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0098 (bear) to $0.0114 (bull), the price of $0.0240 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc reported revenue of $71.6M in FY1999 versus $123M in FY1996, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.1K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $307K · EPS (TTM) $−1.84 · Net margin −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −335% · Operating margin −8.5% · Revenue (TTM) $62.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −22.3% · Free cash flow −$39.9K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 500% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −56%, HERF screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.1% (1996) → −3.1% (1999)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HERF screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −55.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −37.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.38 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.48 ¥115.35 +185%
Bunge Global SA BG $108.14 $56.75 −48%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $50.98 $37.06 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 −17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 205.60 kr 280.90 +37%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 580.50 kr 171.05 −71%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.80 THB 55.71 THB +156%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.58 MYR 35.84 MYR +10%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥155.26 ¥254.63 +64%

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Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc · Fair Value
$0.0106 −56%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HERF

Frequently asked questions

Is Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0106 versus a price of $0.0240, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HERF?
Our model-based fair value for Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is $0.0106 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0240.
What is the quality score of HERF?
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0106 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0098, optimistic scenario $0.0114. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0106, about −56% upside versus a price of $0.0240 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0098, optimistic scenario $0.0114. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $62.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc it is $0.0106 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0240. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HERF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0240, fair value $0.0106, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HERF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0240); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0106). For Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc the two are $0.0134 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc worth?
The market values Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc at about $307K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0240; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0106 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HERF?
Our models span a range for Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc: cautious scenario $0.0098, base $0.0106, optimistic $0.0114 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.0240). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HERF from its 52-week high?
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc trades at $0.0240, about 37% below its 52-week high of $0.0380 and 500% above the low of $0.0040 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0106 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0240, calculated fair value $0.0106 (−56%), Quality Score 63/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HERF calculated?
We run Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0106, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $0.0240. Our model-based fair value is $0.0106, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0114). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
The market capitalisation of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is $307K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Earnings per share at Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc are $−1.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
The net margin of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is −8.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is −335% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
The operating margin of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF)?
Revenue at Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is growing −22.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) generate?
The free cash flow of Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc is −$39.9K (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) hold?
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc holds more cash than debt, $3.6K net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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