Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $307K
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc
HERF · US
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0098). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0020 – $0.2000 · fair‑value band $0.0098 – $0.0114 · the $0.0080 price screens below the $0.0106 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc (HERF) currently trades at $0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0106, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc generated revenue of $62.2M at a net margin of -8.7%. Revenue declined 22.3% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0098 (bear case) to $0.0114 (bull case); at $0.0080, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 33%, HERF screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc. through its subsidiaries, Red Oak Farms, Inc. and My Favorite Jerky, LLC markets branded fresh beef and processed beef products. Its products are distributed to retail supermarkets, and food service and direct sales markets located throughout the United States.
Full company description
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc. through its subsidiaries, Red Oak Farms, Inc. and My Favorite Jerky, LLC markets branded fresh beef and processed beef products. Its products are distributed to retail supermarkets, and food service and direct sales markets located throughout the United States. The company, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Midland Cattle Company, Inc., buys and sells feeder cattle in the wholesale market. Its sales primarily include fresh-boxed beef in traditional primals, such as short loins, ribs, chucks, rounds and frozen-boxed primals. It is also planning to acquire and process products, along with its beef, to produce convenience meals, including its Premium Beef precooked products, frozen ground chuck patties, additional precooked offerings, beef jerky, and sticks.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY1996 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Red Oak Hereford Farms, Inc reported revenue of $71.6M in FY1999 versus $123M in FY1996, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.1K in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 297 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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