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HETA Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €2.8M

H HETA HETA · F
Price€6.70
Fair Value€9.24
Upside+37.9%
Quality68/100
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Weak Growth
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Low Range €6.94 – €11.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€6.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€10.11 €3.37 Fair Value €9.24 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.37 – €10.11 · fair‑value band €6.94 – €11.56 · the €6.70 price screens below the €9.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

HETA (HETA) currently trades at €6.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.24, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €1.4K. Revenue declined 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.6. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €6.94 (bear case) to €11.56 (bull case); at €6.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 38%, HETA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €9.09 €8.76 €7.20 76
Growth-Adj P/E €5.70 €8.14 €10.58 68
P/E Multiple €8.00 €10.66 €13.33 63
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.27 €5.21 €5.87 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.00 €10.66 €13.33 63
P/B Multiple €8.00 €10.66 €13.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.66 €8.92 €13.31 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €9.09 €8.76 €7.20 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €5.70 €8.14 €10.58 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€10.66) versus Earnings-Based (€5.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.4K
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.6%
Net margin 19,330%
Return on equity 4.8%
Free cash flow −€176K FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin -4,794%
EPS (TTM) €0.6300
EPS growth (YoY) +35.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KHD Humboldt Wedag Vermögensverwaltungs-AG, an asset-management company, engages in the management of its own assets in Germany. The company was formerly known as KHD Humboldt Wedag Industrial Services AG and changed its name to KHD Humboldt Wedag Vermögensverwaltungs-AG in July 2017. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Cologne, Germany.

Full company description

KHD Humboldt Wedag Vermögensverwaltungs-AG, an asset-management company, engages in the management of its own assets in Germany. The company was formerly known as KHD Humboldt Wedag Industrial Services AG and changed its name to KHD Humboldt Wedag Vermögensverwaltungs-AG in July 2017. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Cologne, Germany. KHD Humboldt Wedag Vermögensverwaltungs-AG is a subsidiary of Blake International Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HETA reported revenue of €0 in FY2025 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was €266K in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2017)
€1.7M
Latest YoY
−73.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−52.7%
Revenue
FY21 €0
FY22 €0
FY23 €0
FY24 €0
FY25 €0
Net income +2.3%/yr
FY21 €242K
FY22 €32.7K
FY23 €91.2K
FY24 €147K
FY25 €266K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HETA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HETA

Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 117 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE84 · sector 26
FUTURE0 · sector 2
PAST19 · sector 12
HEALTH0 · sector 91
DIVIDEND100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11 R$17.55 R$3.80 -78%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €23.18 €14.21 -39%
Suzano S.A SUZB3 R$41.29 R$101.11 +145%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB kr 109.40 kr 49.40 -55%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥13.94 ¥17.29 +24%
Holmen AB HOLMB kr 314.00 kr 217.72 -31%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$7.92 HK$8.74 +10%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 1,000 CLP 1,253 CLP +25%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥21.11 ¥21.06 -0%
Billerud AB BILL kr 74.55 kr 48.60 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HETA overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.24 versus a price of €6.70, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HETA?
Our model-based fair value for HETA is €9.24 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.70.
What is the quality score of HETA?
HETA has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HETA?
HETA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.4K (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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