HFCL Limited (HFCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IN · Market cap ₹313B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹42.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹27.80 – ₹227.36 · fair‑value band ₹23.84 – ₹42.06 · the ₹223.11 price screens above the ₹32.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HFCL Limited (HFCL) currently trades at ₹223.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.35, implying the stock looks roughly 85.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HFCL Limited generated revenue of ₹49.5B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 127.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at ₹12.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹23.84 (bear case) to ₹42.06 (bull case); at ₹223.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 273% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -86%, HFCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹55.30) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.62). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HFCL Limited manufactures and sells telecom products in India and internationally. The company offers optical fiber cables, such as underground, aerial, microduct, FTTH, and micromodule cables; telecommunication products, including unlicensed band backhaul radios, Wi-Fi access points, routers, managed switches, antennas, network management solutions, and 5g …
Full company description
HFCL Limited manufactures and sells telecom products in India and internationally. The company offers optical fiber cables, such as underground, aerial, microduct, FTTH, and micromodule cables; telecommunication products, including unlicensed band backhaul radios, Wi-Fi access points, routers, managed switches, antennas, network management solutions, and 5g product portfolio; defence product comprising electronic fuzes, electro optics, high capacity radio relay, software defined radios, and ground surveillance radars; and passive networking components, such as high density cabinets, joint closures, optical splitters, aerial cable accessories, fiber optic cable assemblies, and copper cable assemblies. It also provides network solutions for public telecommunications, defence and railway communications, and system integration services. The company was formerly known as Himachal Futuristic Communications Limited and changed its name to HFCL Limited in October 2019. HFCL Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
HFCL Limited reported revenue of ₹49.5B in FY2026 versus ₹47.3B in FY2022, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.1B in FY2026, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HFCL screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $120.43 | $61.53 | -49% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥921.00 | ¥171.09 | -81% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥65.60 | ¥28.65 | -56% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | -59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.32 | $3.77 | -63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $469.74 | $236.33 | -50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥240.05 | ¥43.67 | -82% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | -50% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB | kr 97.78 | kr 157.82 | +61% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥35.59 | ¥19.72 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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