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Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Highfield Resources Ltd A$0.02, price A$0.02, upside -11.6%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000HFR1

HR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Highfield Resources Ltd

HFR · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0168 · Overvalued (−12%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.28 A$0.0160 Fair Value A$0.0168 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0160 – A$1.28 · fair‑value band A$0.0159 – A$0.0185 · the A$0.0190 price screens above the A$0.0168 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Highfield Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of potash mines in Spain. Its potash projects are located in the Ebro potash producing basin in Northern Spain.

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Highfield Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of potash mines in Spain. Its potash projects are located in the Ebro potash producing basin in Northern Spain. The company's flagship property includes the Muga-Vipasca project that targets sylvinite beds in the Muga Project area, which covers an area of approximately 40 square kilometers located in the Provinces of Navarra and Aragón. It also holds interest in the Pintanos tenement area comprising three permits of Molineras 1, Molineras 2, and Puntarrón covering an area of 65 square kilometers; and the Sierra del Perdón tenement area includes three permits of Quiñones, Adiós, and Ampliación de Adiós covering an area of approximately 125 square kilometers located to southeast of Pamplona.Highfield Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pamplona, Spain.

Stock analysis

Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR) currently trades at A$0.0190, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0168, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0159 (bear) to A$0.0185 (bull), the price of A$0.0190 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Highfield Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$69.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$9.5M (≈ $6.7M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1400 · Return on equity −58.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin −6,098% · Revenue (TTM) A$80.1K · Revenue growth (YoY) −52.7% · Free cash flow −A$8.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, HFR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0159 Fair Value A$0.0168 Bull A$0.0185
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1000 A$0.1300 A$0.1900 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1000 A$0.1300 A$0.1900 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−96.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−14,296.1% (2012) → −48,922.2% (2017)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

HFR screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 180 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −53% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 83.20× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)18 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Nutrien Ltd NTR $75.13 $82.61 +10%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.87 ¥27.36 +10%
CF Industries Holdings CF $120.64 $161.00 +33%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 124.00 SAR 150.65 SAR +21%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 446.70 kr 659.87 +48%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥27.95 ¥50.49 +81%
The Mosaic Company MOS $24.73 $25.77 +4%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥39.75 ¥38.01 −4%
ICL Group ICL $5.40 $2.98 −45%

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Highfield Resources Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0168 −13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Highfield Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HFR

Frequently asked questions

Is Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0168 versus a price of A$0.0190, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HFR?
Our model-based fair value for Highfield Resources Ltd is A$0.0168 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0190.
What is the quality score of HFR?
Highfield Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0168 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0159, optimistic scenario A$0.0185. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Highfield Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0168, about −12% upside versus a price of A$0.0190 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0159, optimistic scenario A$0.0185. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Highfield Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$80.1K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Highfield Resources Ltd it is A$0.0168 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0190. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Highfield Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HFR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0190, fair value A$0.0168, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HFR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0190); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0168). For Highfield Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0022 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Highfield Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Highfield Resources Ltd at about A$9.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0190; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0168 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HFR?
Our models span a range for Highfield Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0159, base A$0.0168, optimistic A$0.0185 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0190). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Highfield Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −58.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HFR from its 52-week high?
Highfield Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0190, about 76% below its 52-week high of A$0.0780 and 19% above the low of A$0.0160 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0168 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Highfield Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Highfield Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0190, calculated fair value A$0.0168 (−12%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HFR calculated?
We run Highfield Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0168, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Highfield Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0190. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0168, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Highfield Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0185). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Highfield Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
The market capitalisation of Highfield Resources Ltd is A$9.5M (≈ $6.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Earnings per share at Highfield Resources Ltd are A$−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Highfield Resources Ltd is −58.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Highfield Resources Ltd is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
The operating margin of Highfield Resources Ltd is −6,098% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR)?
Revenue at Highfield Resources Ltd is growing −52.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR) generate?
The free cash flow of Highfield Resources Ltd is −A$8.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Highfield Resources Ltd (HFR) carry?
The net debt of Highfield Resources Ltd is A$47.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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